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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
De'Aaron Fox | D. Fox | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +0.7 | -0.2 | |||||||
Buddy Hield | B. Hield | 0 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +1.9 | -1.6 | |||||||
Harrison Barnes | H. Barnes | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 0 | 36 | SAME | -0.3 | -0.8 | |||||||
Willie Cauley-Stein | W. Cauley-Stein | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 30 | SAME | -0.9 | +2.2 | |||||||
Marvin Bagley III | M. Bagley III | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 28 | SAME | -1.2 | -1.8 | |||||||
Nemanja Bjelica | N. Bjelica | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 25 | SAME | +0.2 | +1.0 | |||||||
Bogdan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 24 | SAME | +0.6 | -1.1 | |||||||
Alec Burks | A. Burks | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | SAME | -1.3 | -1.4 | |||||||
Frank Mason | F. Mason | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | SAME | -0.9 | -2.1 | |||||||
Yogi Ferrell | Y. Ferrell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | SAME | 0.0 | -1.2 | |||||||
Harry Giles | H. Giles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | SAME | -2.3 | +0.4 | |||||||
Troy Williams | T. Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.9 | -0.1 | |||||||
Corey Brewer | C. Brewer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.1 | +0.8 | |||||||
Kosta Koufos | K. Koufos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.7 | +1.3 | |||||||
Caleb Swanigan | C. Swanigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.9 | 0.0 | |||||||
Wenyen Gabriel | W. Gabriel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -0.3 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -0.1 | -2.3 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 35 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1445 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
De'Aaron Fox | D. Fox | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +0.7 | -0.2 | ||||
Buddy Hield | B. Hield | 0 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +1.9 | -1.6 | ||||
Harrison Barnes | H. Barnes | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 0 | 36 | -0.3 | -0.8 | ||||
Willie Cauley-Stein | W. Cauley-Stein | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 30 | -0.9 | +2.2 | ||||
Marvin Bagley III | M. Bagley III | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -1.2 | -1.8 | ||||
Nemanja Bjelica | N. Bjelica | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 25 | +0.2 | +1.0 | ||||
Bogdan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 24 | +0.6 | -1.1 | ||||
Alec Burks | A. Burks | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | -1.3 | -1.4 | ||||
Frank Mason | F. Mason | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -0.9 | -2.1 | ||||
Yogi Ferrell | Y. Ferrell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | -1.2 | ||||
Harry Giles | H. Giles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2.3 | +0.4 | ||||
Troy Williams | T. Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 | -0.1 | ||||
Corey Brewer | C. Brewer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 | +0.8 | ||||
Kosta Koufos | K. Koufos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 | +1.3 | ||||
Caleb Swanigan | C. Swanigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 | 0.0 | ||||
Wenyen Gabriel | W. Gabriel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | -0.3 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -0.1 | -2.3 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 35 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1445 |
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