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UPDATED May 19, 2019, at 7:20 AM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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The Orlando Magic have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strengthvs. full strengthOff. +/-Def. +/-
Aaron GordonA. Gordon001522037SAME
+0.3
+0.8
Nikola VucevicN. Vucevic00003434SAME
+1.1
+3.2
Evan FournierE. Fournier022110033SAME
+0.5
-1.3
D.J. AugustinD. Augustin28000028SAME
+1.4
-1.5
Jonathan IsaacJ. Isaac00026026SAME
-1.9
+1.5
Terrence RossT. Ross02160027+1
+0.5
-0.7
Markelle FultzM. Fultz9100010-11
-2.0
0.0
Wesley IwunduW. Iwundu03160019+5
-2.7
-0.1
Isaiah BriscoeI. Briscoe11000011+4
-2.7
-0.2
Mohamed BambaM. Bamba00001212SAME
-3.2
+1.0
Jerian GrantJ. Grant010001+1
-0.6
-0.6
Khem BirchK. Birch000022SAME
-1.0
+1.6
Jarell MartinJ. Martin000000SAME
-2.4
+0.3
Amile JeffersonA. Jefferson000000SAME
-1.8
+0.4
Troy CaupainT. Caupain000000SAME
-1.4
-1.1
Melvin FrazierM. Frazier000000SAME
-1.9
-0.9
Timofey MozgovT. Mozgov000000SAME
-3.7
+0.8
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
-1.5
+1.8
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
42
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1510
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALOff. +/-Def. +/-
Aaron GordonA. Gordon001522037
+0.3
+0.8
Nikola VucevicN. Vucevic00003434
+1.1
+3.2
Evan FournierE. Fournier022110033
+0.5
-1.3
D.J. AugustinD. Augustin28000028
+1.4
-1.5
Jonathan IsaacJ. Isaac00026026
-1.9
+1.5
Terrence RossT. Ross01790026
+0.5
-0.7
Markelle FultzM. Fultz13800021
-2.0
0.0
Wesley IwunduW. Iwundu01130014
-2.7
-0.1
Isaiah BriscoeI. Briscoe700007
-2.7
-0.2
Mohamed BambaM. Bamba00001212
-3.2
+1.0
Jerian GrantJ. Grant000000
-0.6
-0.6
Khem BirchK. Birch000022
-1.0
+1.6
Jarell MartinJ. Martin000000
-2.4
+0.3
Amile JeffersonA. Jefferson000000
-1.8
+0.4
Troy CaupainT. Caupain000000
-1.4
-1.1
Melvin FrazierM. Frazier000000
-1.9
-0.9
Timofey MozgovT. Mozgov000000
-3.7
+0.8
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
-1.5
+1.8
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
42
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1513
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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