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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Victor Oladipo | V. Oladipo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -36 | +1.7 | +1.4 | |||||||
Myles Turner | M. Turner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 31 | SAME | -1.4 | +3.3 | |||||||
Bojan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 0 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +0.6 | -1.3 | |||||||
Thaddeus Young | T. Young | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 33 | SAME | 0.0 | +1.6 | |||||||
Darren Collison | D. Collison | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | SAME | +1.3 | -0.7 | |||||||
Wesley Matthews | W. Matthews | 0 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | +4 | -0.4 | -0.8 | |||||||
Domantas Sabonis | D. Sabonis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 27 | SAME | +0.1 | +1.2 | |||||||
Cory Joseph | C. Joseph | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | +8 | -0.7 | +0.7 | |||||||
Tyreke Evans | T. Evans | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | +7 | -0.3 | -0.1 | |||||||
Edmond Sumner | E. Sumner | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |||||||
Doug McDermott | D. McDermott | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4 | -0.2 | -1.8 | |||||||
T.J. Leaf | T. Leaf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |||||||
Aaron Holiday | A. Holiday | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.1 | -0.8 | |||||||
Kyle O'Quinn | K. O'Quinn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | -1.2 | +2.1 | |||||||
Alize Johnson | A. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -0.4 | |||||||
Davon Reed | D. Reed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | -0.7 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -0.8 | +2.3 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 45 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1543 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Victor Oladipo | V. Oladipo | 11 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | +1.7 | +1.4 | ||||
Myles Turner | M. Turner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 31 | -1.4 | +3.3 | ||||
Bojan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 0 | 1 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 34 | +0.6 | -1.3 | ||||
Thaddeus Young | T. Young | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 33 | 0.0 | +1.6 | ||||
Darren Collison | D. Collison | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | +1.3 | -0.7 | ||||
Wesley Matthews | W. Matthews | 0 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27 | -0.4 | -0.8 | ||||
Domantas Sabonis | D. Sabonis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 27 | +0.1 | +1.2 | ||||
Cory Joseph | C. Joseph | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -0.7 | +0.7 | ||||
Tyreke Evans | T. Evans | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
Edmond Sumner | E. Sumner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | -0.3 | ||||
Doug McDermott | D. McDermott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | -1.8 | ||||
T.J. Leaf | T. Leaf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | -0.1 | ||||
Aaron Holiday | A. Holiday | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | -0.8 | ||||
Kyle O'Quinn | K. O'Quinn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 | +2.1 | ||||
Alize Johnson | A. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | -0.4 | ||||
Davon Reed | D. Reed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | -0.7 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +1.1 | +3.5 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 53 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1621 |
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