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UPDATED Jun. 13, 2019, at 11:52 PM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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The Toronto Raptors have a 100% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strengthvs. full strengthOff. +/-Def. +/-
Kawhi LeonardK. Leonard07257039SAME
+3.5
+0.6
Kyle LowryK. Lowry31600037SAME
+3.3
+0.9
Pascal SiakamP. Siakam00031233SAME
+1.1
+1.8
Danny GreenD. Green02080028SAME
+1.0
+1.8
Marc GasolM. Gasol00003131SAME
-0.1
+2.7
Fred VanVleetF. VanVleet171000027SAME
+1.2
+0.1
Serge IbakaS. Ibaka00071522SAME
-0.9
+0.7
Norman PowellN. Powell05100015SAME
-0.7
-0.4
OG AnunobyO. Anunoby005308SAME
-1.1
-0.4
Patrick McCawP. McCaw000000SAME
-2.1
-0.5
Jodie MeeksJ. Meeks000000SAME
-1.0
-1.7
Malcolm MillerM. Miller000000SAME
-1.2
-0.3
Jeremy LinJ. Lin000000SAME
-1.2
-1.3
Eric MorelandE. Moreland000000SAME
-2.7
+2.6
Chris BoucherC. Boucher000000SAME
-2.6
+1.3
Jordan LoydJ. Loyd000000SAME
-2.0
-1.1
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+6.6
+5.4
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
68
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1807
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALOff. +/-Def. +/-
Kawhi LeonardK. Leonard07257039
+3.5
+0.6
Kyle LowryK. Lowry31600037
+3.3
+0.9
Pascal SiakamP. Siakam00031233
+1.1
+1.8
Danny GreenD. Green02080028
+1.0
+1.8
Marc GasolM. Gasol00003131
-0.1
+2.7
Fred VanVleetF. VanVleet171000027
+1.2
+0.1
Serge IbakaS. Ibaka00071522
-0.9
+0.7
Norman PowellN. Powell05100015
-0.7
-0.4
OG AnunobyO. Anunoby005308
-1.1
-0.4
Patrick McCawP. McCaw000000
-2.1
-0.5
Jodie MeeksJ. Meeks000000
-1.0
-1.7
Malcolm MillerM. Miller000000
-1.2
-0.3
Jeremy LinJ. Lin000000
-1.2
-1.3
Eric MorelandE. Moreland000000
-2.7
+2.6
Chris BoucherC. Boucher000000
-2.6
+1.3
Jordan LoydJ. Loyd000000
-2.0
-1.1
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+6.6
+5.4
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
68
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1807
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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