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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Devin Booker | D. Booker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -39 | +2.8 | -2.6 | |||||||
DeAndre Ayton | D. Ayton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -33 | -0.8 | +0.7 | |||||||
T.J. Warren | T. Warren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -32 | -0.1 | -1.2 | |||||||
Mikal Bridges | M. Bridges | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 31 | +2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | |||||||
Josh Jackson* | J. Jackson* | 0 | 20 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 48 | +22 | -2.3 | -1.0 | |||||||
Tyler Johnson | T. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -25 | -0.3 | -0.7 | |||||||
Kelly Oubre | K. Oubre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -25 | -0.3 | -0.9 | |||||||
De'Anthony Melton | D. Melton | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | +9 | -2.7 | +0.1 | |||||||
Elie Okobo | E. Okobo | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | +16 | -2.5 | -1.8 | |||||||
Dragan Bender* | D. Bender* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | 36 | +24 | -2.4 | -0.3 | |||||||
Jamal Crawford | J. Crawford | 0 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | +21 | -1.3 | -4.0 | |||||||
Richaun Holmes* | R. Holmes* | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 32 | +29 | -0.9 | +1.3 | |||||||
Jawun Evans | J. Evans | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | +12 | -1.9 | -0.7 | |||||||
Troy Daniels | T. Daniels | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | +10 | -0.3 | -2.7 | |||||||
George King | G. King | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +9 | -1.7 | -1.7 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -8.1 | -3.6 | |||||||||||||
Adj. rotation ratings | A flagged (*) player is on the court more than expected by CARMELO. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | Adj. rotation ratings A flagged (*) player is on the court more than expected by CARMELO. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | -10.3 | -5.8 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 9 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1086 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Devin Booker | D. Booker | 18 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 39 | +2.8 | -2.6 | ||||
DeAndre Ayton | D. Ayton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | -0.8 | +0.7 | ||||
T.J. Warren | T. Warren | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 32 | -0.1 | -1.2 | ||||
Mikal Bridges | M. Bridges | 0 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 29 | -0.3 | -0.3 | ||||
Josh Jackson | J. Jackson | 0 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 26 | -2.3 | -1.0 | ||||
Tyler Johnson | T. Johnson | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | -0.3 | -0.7 | ||||
Kelly Oubre | K. Oubre | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 25 | -0.3 | -0.9 | ||||
De'Anthony Melton | D. Melton | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -2.7 | +0.1 | ||||
Elie Okobo | E. Okobo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.5 | -1.8 | ||||
Dragan Bender | D. Bender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -2.4 | -0.3 | ||||
Jamal Crawford | J. Crawford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | -4.0 | ||||
Richaun Holmes | R. Holmes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.9 | +1.3 | ||||
Jawun Evans | J. Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 | -0.7 | ||||
Troy Daniels | T. Daniels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | -2.7 | ||||
George King | G. King | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | -1.7 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -1.6 | -4.1 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 27 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1361 |
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