UPDATED Dec. 17, 2020, at 1:15 PM

2020-21 NBA Player Projections

Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:2020-21 NBA predictionsOur RAPTOR player ratings

These projections are outdated. See our latest NBA player projections »
How good will
be?
Random player
Pick a player:
Random player

Draymond Green

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'6"
Weight230
Draft position35
Scoring
True shooting %51%
Free throw %75%
Usage %15%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency39%
FT frequency26%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %30%
Turnover %23%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %13%
Block %2.7%
Steal %2.2%
Defensive +/-+2.9
Wins above replacement projection
Category: KEY ROLE PLAYER
5-yr market value: $39.8m

Confidence interval

Projection

'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28051015209.69.12.14.12.91.91.30.70.30.29.69.12.14.12.91.91.30.70.30.2
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Boris Diaw
Year: 2013
Similarity: 42
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
2
Sam Lacey
Year: 1979
Similarity: 40
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
3
Alvan Adams
Year: 1985
Similarity: 38
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
4
Derrick McKey
Year: 1998
Similarity: 38
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
5
Paul Pressey
Year: 1990
Similarity: 34
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
6
Robert Horry
Year: 2001
Similarity: 33
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
7
Allan Bristow
Year: 1982
Similarity: 33
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
8
Jerome Kersey
Year: 1993
Similarity: 32
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
9
Aaron McKie
Year: 2004
Similarity: 31
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
10
Darrell Walker
Year: 1992
Similarity: 30
05101520'172018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28

Draymond Green

  • Warriors
  • Golden State Warriors
  • Power Forward
  • 30 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
Offensive +/-Reg. season+0.7-0.3-2.5-1.3-1.6-1.8-2.3-2.4-2.8-3.0
Playoffs+1.9+2.9-0.5-0.8-1.0-1.5-1.6-1.9-2.2
Combined+1.0+0.8-2.5-0.9-1.2-1.4-1.9-2.0-2.3-2.6
Defensive +/-Reg. season+2.4+3.5+2.3+2.3+2.1+1.9+1.9+1.8+1.7+1.6
Playoffs+6.1+4.4+2.6+2.4+2.2+2.2+2.1+2.0+1.9
Combined+3.5+3.8+2.3+2.4+2.3+2.1+2.1+2.0+1.8+1.8
Total +/-Reg. season+3.1+3.3-0.2+1.0+0.5+0.1-0.4-0.6-1.1-1.4
Playoffs+8.0+7.3+2.1+1.6+1.2+0.7+0.5+0.0-0.3
Combined+4.5+4.6-0.2+1.5+1.0+0.6+0.20.0-0.5-0.9
Per 82 games2018'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
WARReg. season6.96.42.13.32.41.61.10.60.20.1
Playoffs18.217.34.83.52.31.60.90.40.2
Combined9.69.12.14.12.91.91.30.70.30.2
Market valueReg. season$27.9m$27.1m$7.8m$13.0m$10.0m$6.9m$5.1m$3.0m$1.5m$0.9m
Playoffs$94.0m$92.2m$18.1m$13.7m$9.2m$6.8m$4.0m$2.1m$1.2m
Combined$43.5m$42.9m$7.8m$15.6m$11.8m$8.0m$6.0m$3.5m$1.8m$1.0m
Minutes playedReg. season2,2872,0651,5421,7071,4291,065853516287170
Playoffs3,1983,1721,8741,5131,084842495271161
Combined2,5012,3351,5421,7911,4711,075847506279166
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2018+1.0+3.5+4.5$43.5m2,501
2019+0.8+3.8+4.6$42.9m2,335
2020-2.5+2.3-0.2$7.8m1,542
2021-0.9+2.4+1.5$15.6m1,791
2022-1.2+2.3+1.0$11.8m1,471
2023-1.4+2.1+0.6$8.0m1,075
2024-1.9+2.1+0.2$6.0m847
2025-2.0+2.00.0$3.5m506
2026-2.3+1.8-0.5$1.8m279
2027-2.6+1.8-0.9$1.0m166