2020-21 NBA Player Projections
Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Miles Bridges
- Hornets
- Charlotte Hornets
- Power Forward
- 22 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
| Percentile | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitals | 50th | ||
| Height | 6'6" | ||
| Weight | 225 | ||
| Draft position | 12 | ||
| Scoring | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| True shooting % | 52% | ||
| Free throw % | 80% | ||
| Usage % | 19% | ||
| Tendencies | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 pt. frequency | 40% | ||
| FT frequency | 17% | ||
| Passing/ball handling | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Assist % | 9% | ||
| Turnover % | 10% | ||
| Defense/rebounding | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebound % | 10% | ||
| Block % | 2.2% | ||
| Steal % | 1.1% | ||
| Defensive +/- | -1.5 | ||
Wins above replacement projection
Category: PROJECT
5-yr market value: $23.8m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Wilson Chandler
Year: 2010
Similarity: 68
2
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Year: 2019
Similarity: 62
3
Lamond Murray
Year: 1996
Similarity: 58
4
DeMar DeRozan
Year: 2012
Similarity: 57
5
Tobias Harris
Year: 2015
Similarity: 57
6
Aaron Gordon
Year: 2018
Similarity: 55
7
Jeff Green
Year: 2009
Similarity: 55
8
Harrison Barnes
Year: 2015
Similarity: 54
9
C. Villanueva
Year: 2007
Similarity: 53
10
Thaddeus Young
Year: 2011
Similarity: 50
Miles Bridges
- Hornets
- Charlotte Hornets
- Power Forward
- 22 years old
The fine print
| RAPTOR Ratings | 2018 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive +/- | Reg. season | — | -1.6 | -1.5 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| Playoffs | — | — | — | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Combined | — | -1.6 | -1.5 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Defensive +/- | Reg. season | — | -0.7 | -1.6 | -1.4 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.4 |
| Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.4 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.4 | |
| Combined | — | -0.7 | -1.6 | -1.4 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.4 | |
| Total +/- | Reg. season | — | -2.3 | -3.1 | -2.3 | -1.8 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.6 |
| Playoffs | — | — | — | -2.3 | -1.8 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.5 | |
| Combined | — | -2.3 | -3.1 | -2.3 | -1.8 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.6 |
| Per 82 games | 2018 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAR | Reg. season | — | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Playoffs | — | — | — | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| Combined | — | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| Market value | Reg. season | — | $2.4m | $0.7m | $3.4m | $4.6m | $5.5m | $5.1m | $5.1m | $4.9m | $4.9m |
| Playoffs | — | — | — | $3.3m | $4.6m | $5.3m | $5.0m | $5.0m | $4.7m | $4.6m | |
| Combined | — | $2.4m | $0.7m | $3.4m | $4.6m | $5.4m | $5.1m | $5.0m | $4.8m | $4.7m | |
| Minutes played | Reg. season | — | 1,696 | 2,517 | 2,100 | 1,911 | 1,760 | 1,583 | 1,559 | 1,419 | 1,187 |
| Playoffs | — | — | — | 2,006 | 1,884 | 1,714 | 1,572 | 1,546 | 1,361 | 1,108 | |
| Combined | — | 1,696 | 2,517 | 2,053 | 1,897 | 1,737 | 1,578 | 1,553 | 1,390 | 1,147 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
| Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| 2019 | -1.6 | -0.7 | -2.3 | $2.4m | 1,696 |
| 2020 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -3.1 | $0.7m | 2,517 |
| 2021 | -0.9 | -1.4 | -2.3 | $3.4m | 2,053 |
| 2022 | -0.6 | -1.3 | -1.8 | $4.6m | 1,897 |
| 2023 | -0.3 | -1.2 | -1.5 | $5.4m | 1,737 |
| 2024 | -0.3 | -1.3 | -1.6 | $5.1m | 1,578 |
| 2025 | -0.4 | -1.3 | -1.7 | $5.0m | 1,553 |
| 2026 | -0.4 | -1.3 | -1.7 | $4.8m | 1,390 |
| 2027 | -0.2 | -1.4 | -1.6 | $4.7m | 1,147 |
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