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UPDATED Jun. 11, 2021, at 11:51 PM

2021 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

More WNBA: How this works

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The Phoenix Mercury have a 2%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
80%
chance of making the playoffs
2%
chance of getting a two-round bye
6%
chance of making the finals
2%
chance of winning the finals
Probabilities by final position

Eight teams make the WNBA playoffs. The first two rounds are single-elimination games, and the semifinals and finals are five-game series. The top two seeds get double byes (and are guaranteed spots in the semifinals), while the next two seeds get one-round byes.

bye to semifinals
bye to second round
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Mercury Elo over the 2021 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Mercury Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Sunday, June 13

6 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Liberty30%
Mercury-5.570%

qualityimportancematch rating
372330

Wednesday, June 16

10:30 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Mercury37%
Sparks-363%

qualityimportancematch rating
471833

Friday, June 18

10:30 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Mercury37%
Sparks-363%

qualityimportancematch rating
471933

Completed games


Friday, June 11

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.final score
Wings37%77
Mercury-3.563%59

Tuesday, June 8

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.final score
Wings33%85
Mercury-4.567%81

Thursday, June 3

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.final score
Sky30%74
Mercury-5.570%77
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