UPDATED 2:00 pm EDT | Jul 7, 2016

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

How good will
be?
RANDOM PLAYER
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Kevin Durant

  • Warriors
  • Golden State Warriors
  • Small Forward
  • 28 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'9"
Weight215
Draft position2
Scoring
True shooting %63%
Free throw %89%
Usage %31%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency34%
FT frequency38%
Passing/Ball Handling
Assist %24%
Turnover %13%
Defense/Rebounding
Rebound %12%
Block %2.3%
Steal %1.3%
Defensive +/-+0.6
Wins Above Replacement Projection

Confidence interval

Projection

Category:
5-yr market value:

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