UPDATED Jul. 8, 2019 at 10:30 AM

2019-20 CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:Every team’s Elo historyOur 2019-20 NBA predictions

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Marvin Bagley III

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'11"
Weight234
Draft position2
Scoring
True shooting %56%
Free throw %69%
Usage %24%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency14%
FT frequency37%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %6%
Turnover %11%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %16%
Block %3.2%
Steal %1.0%
Defensive +/--1.8
Wins above replacement projection
Category:
5-yr market value:

Confidence interval

Projection

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