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Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Ann Kirkpatrick

D
Democratic representative for Arizona’s 2nd District
Trump score
How often Kirkpatrick votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Kirkpatrick is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Kirkpatrick’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
2.7%
-4.9 
13.6%
-10.9 
116th Congress
2.7%
-4.9 
13.6%
-10.9 
Trump score
How often Kirkpatrick votes in line with Trump’s position
2.7%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
-4.9 
Predicted score
How often Kirkpatrick is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
13.6%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Kirkpatrick’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-10.9 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Democratic representative for Arizona’s 2nd District
DateMeasureTrump PositionKirkpatrick VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Sept. 24 Providing money for clean-energy research and changing rules for energy efficiency (220-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.6%
Plus-minus
-44.6
Sept. 16 Allowing lawsuits against discrimination in education programs regardless of officials’ intent (232-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
5.7%
Plus-minus
-5.7
Aug. 22 Providing additional money to the U.S. Postal Service and prohibiting the agency from making certain changes (257-150)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
4.2%
Plus-minus
-4.2
July 21 The National Defense Authorization Act (295-125)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.4%
Plus-minus
-29.4
July 1 $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill (233-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
4.5%
Plus-minus
-4.5
June 29 Repeal of a rule changing Community Reinvestment Act standards (230-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.5%
Plus-minus
-7.5
June 29 Extending housing assistance in response to the coronavirus pandemic (232-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
8.7%
Plus-minus
-8.7
June 29 Changing regulations on consumer credit reporting (234-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
4.5%
Plus-minus
-4.5
June 29 Expanding the Affordable Care Act (234-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.5%
Plus-minus
-2.5
June 26 Making the District of Columbia a state (232-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
5.3%
Plus-minus
-5.3
June 25 Combating brutality and racial discrimination by police (236-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
5.8%
Plus-minus
-5.8
May 15 $3 trillion package in response to the coronavirus pandemic (208-199)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
31.2%
Plus-minus
——
March 14 Providing assistance to people affected by the coronavirus (363-40)
Trump Position
support
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
96.3%
Plus-minus
——
March 11 Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (227-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
16.0%
Plus-minus
-16.0
March 5 Giving additional rights to Transportation Security Administration employees (230-171)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.7%
Plus-minus
-6.7
Feb. 28 Banning flavored tobacco products (213-195)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
40.2%
Plus-minus
-40.2
Feb. 7 Providing disaster aid for Puerto Rico (237-161)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
4.5%
Plus-minus
——
Feb. 6 Making changes to labor laws (224-194)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
13.3%
Plus-minus
——
Jan. 29 Changing regulations on credit reporting (221-189)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
14.4%
Plus-minus
——
Jan. 16 Reversing a Department of Education regulation on student loans (231-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
3.6%
Plus-minus
——
Jan. 15 Changing the standards for demonstrating age discrimination (261-155)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
1.6%
Plus-minus
——
Jan. 10 Requiring the Environmental Protection Agency to issue regulations regarding certain chemicals (247-159)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
5.8%
Plus-minus
——
Jan. 9 Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (224-194)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
17.3%
Plus-minus
——
Dec. 19, 2019 United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (385-41)
Trump Position
support
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.4%
Plus-minus
+6.6
Dec. 19, 2019 Repealing a cap on state and local tax deductions (218-206)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.3%
Plus-minus
-33.3
Dec. 18, 2019 Impeaching President Trump on a charge of obstruction of Congress (229-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.3%
Plus-minus
-3.3
Dec. 18, 2019 Impeaching President Trump on a charge of abuse of power (230-197)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.3%
Plus-minus
-3.3
Dec. 12, 2019 Allowing the federal government to negotiate lower prescription drug prices (230-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
5.0%
Plus-minus
-5.0
Dec. 6, 2019 Restoring parts of the Voting Rights Act (228-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
5.4%
Plus-minus
-5.4
Nov. 21, 2019 Requiring health care and social service employers to have plans for preventing workplace violence (251-158)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
9.9%
Plus-minus
-9.9
Nov. 15, 2019 Reauthorizing the Export-Import Bank (235-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
30.0%
Plus-minus
-30.0
Oct. 31, 2019 Preserving nearly 400,000 acres of land in Colorado (227-182)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.6%
Plus-minus
-7.6
Oct. 31, 2019 Establishing the procedures for an impeachment inquiry (232-196)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.3%
Plus-minus
-3.3
Oct. 30, 2019 Permanently banning new uranium mines near the Grand Canyon (236-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
11.4%
Plus-minus
-11.4
Oct. 23, 2019 Requiring campaigns to report offers of assistance from foreign governments (227-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.2%
Plus-minus
-3.2
Oct. 17, 2019 Requiring the Securities and Exchange Commission to study investor disclosures (229-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.2%
Plus-minus
-6.2
Oct. 16, 2019 Opposing President Trump’s withdrawal of troops from Syria (354-60)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.5%
Plus-minus
-3.5
Sept. 27, 2019 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (236-174)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.1%
Plus-minus
-7.1
Sept. 20, 2019 Banning companies from requiring private arbitration to resolve disputes (225-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.4%
Plus-minus
-12.4
Sept. 11, 2019 Banning drilling off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts (238-189)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
20.3%
Plus-minus
-20.3
Sept. 11, 2019 Banning drilling in the eastern Gulf of Mexico (248-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
19.1%
Plus-minus
-19.1
July 25, 2019 Two-year budget bill (284-149)
Trump Position
support
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
74.9%
Plus-minus
+25.1
July 24, 2019 Establishing humanitarian standards for people in the custody of Customs and Border Protection (233-195)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.4%
Plus-minus
-6.4
July 18, 2019 Raising the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour (231-199)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
8.1%
Plus-minus
-8.1
July 17, 2019 Holding the attorney general and secretary of commerce in contempt of Congress (230-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.3%
Plus-minus
-7.3
July 17, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (237-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.3%
Plus-minus
-12.3
July 17, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to the United Arab Emirates (238-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.3%
Plus-minus
-12.3
July 17, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (238-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.3%
Plus-minus
-12.3
July 17, 2019 Motion to table articles of impeachment against President Trump (332-95)
Trump Position
support
Kirkpatrick Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
89.9%
Plus-minus
-89.9
July 16, 2019 Condeming President Trump’s comments about four congresswomen as racist (240-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.3%
Plus-minus
-3.3
July 12, 2019 National Defense Authorization Act (220-197)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
41.5%
Plus-minus
-41.5
June 26, 2019 Funding the Treasury Department, the IRS, the Executive Office of the President and other agencies (224-196)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
16.0%
Plus-minus
-16.0
June 25, 2019 Providing humanitarian aid for the U.S.-Mexico border (230-195)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.5%
Plus-minus
-33.5
June 25, 2019 Funding the Department of Commerce, the Department of Justice and several other parts of the government (227-194)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.8%
Plus-minus
-6.8
June 19, 2019 Funding much of the federal government, including the departments of Defense, Labor, Education, State, and Health and Human Services (226-203)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
35.9%
Plus-minus
-35.9
June 4, 2019 Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.3%
Plus-minus
-3.3
May 22, 2019 Reversing changes to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (231-191)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.2%
Plus-minus
-6.2
May 16, 2019 Lowering prescription drug costs and reversing changes to the Affordable Care Act (234-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.7%
Plus-minus
-3.7
May 15, 2019 Reaffirming the Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe reservation in Massachusetts (275-146)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
15.2%
Plus-minus
-15.2
May 10, 2019 Providing disaster relief money, including additional aid for Puerto Rico (257-150)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
9.4%
Plus-minus
-9.4
May 9, 2019 Blocking the Trump administration from granting Affordable Care Act waivers to states (230-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
4.6%
Plus-minus
-4.6
May 2, 2019 Blocking President Trump from withdrawing from the Paris agreement on climate change (231-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
5.3%
Plus-minus
-5.3
April 10, 2019 Restoring net neutrality regulations (232-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.0%
Plus-minus
-7.0
April 4, 2019 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (247-175)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
18.2%
Plus-minus
-18.2
April 3, 2019 Condemning the Trump administration for calling on courts to invalidate the Affordable Care Act (240-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
1.9%
Plus-minus
-1.9
March 28, 2019 Opposing a ban on openly transgender people serving in the military (238-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.8%
Plus-minus
-3.8
March 26, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill that overturned his emergency declaration for border wall funding (248-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.0%
Plus-minus
-7.0
March 8, 2019 Updating ethics rules, expanding voting rights and requiring presidential candidates to disclose tax returns (234-193)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.3%
Plus-minus
-6.3
Feb. 28, 2019 Giving law enforcement agencies more time to conduct background checks for gun sales (228-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
1.0%
Plus-minus
-1.0
Feb. 27, 2019 Requiring background checks for all firearm sales (240-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.2%
Plus-minus
-0.2
Feb. 26, 2019 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (245-182)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.1%
Plus-minus
-7.1
Feb. 13, 2019 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (248-177)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
17.8%
Plus-minus
-17.8
Jan. 24, 2019 Funding the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (231-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
17.9%
Plus-minus
-17.9
Jan. 23, 2019 Funding most of the federal government through Sept. 30, without money for a border wall (234-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
17.0%
Plus-minus
-17.0
Jan. 23, 2019 Funding the federal government through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (229-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
17.8%
Plus-minus
-17.8
Jan. 17, 2019 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.8%
Plus-minus
-2.8
Jan. 16, 2019 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.6%
Plus-minus
-2.6
Jan. 15, 2019 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.6%
Plus-minus
-2.6
Jan. 11, 2019 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.6%
Plus-minus
-2.6
Jan. 10, 2019 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.7%
Plus-minus
-2.7
Jan. 10, 2019 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.5%
Plus-minus
-2.5
Jan. 9, 2019 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.0%
Plus-minus
-3.0
Jan. 3, 2019 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.9%
Plus-minus
-2.9
Jan. 3, 2019 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Kirkpatrick Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
2.9%
Plus-minus
-2.9
Average
2.7%
13.6%
-10.9

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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