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Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Elissa Slotkin

D
Democratic representative for Michigan’s 8th District
Trump score
How often Slotkin votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Slotkin is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Slotkin’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
0.0%
+6.7 
44.0%
-44.0 
116th Congress
0.0%
+6.7 
44.0%
-44.0 
Trump score
How often Slotkin votes in line with Trump’s position
0.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+6.7 
Predicted score
How often Slotkin is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
44.0%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Slotkin’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-44.0 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Democratic representative for Michigan’s 8th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionSlotkin VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
June 4 Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.2%
Plus-minus
-44.2
May 22 Reversing changes to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (231-191)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
53.2%
Plus-minus
-53.2
May 16 Lowering prescription drug costs and reversing changes to the Affordable Care Act (234-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
48.1%
Plus-minus
-48.1
May 15 Reaffirming the Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe reservation in Massachusetts (275-146)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.7%
Plus-minus
-32.7
May 10 Providing disaster relief money, including additional aid for Puerto Rico (257-150)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.7%
Plus-minus
-31.7
May 9 Blocking the Trump administration from granting Affordable Care Act waivers to states (230-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
47.5%
Plus-minus
-47.5
May 2 Blocking President Trump from withdrawing from the Paris agreement on climate change (231-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
50.7%
Plus-minus
-50.7
April 10 Restoring net neutrality regulations (232-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
52.3%
Plus-minus
-52.3
April 4 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (247-175)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
43.6%
Plus-minus
-43.6
April 3 Condemning the Trump administration for calling on courts to invalidate the Affordable Care Act (240-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.4%
Plus-minus
-44.4
March 28 Opposing a ban on openly transgender people serving in the military (238-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
45.3%
Plus-minus
-45.3
March 26 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill that overturned his emergency declaration for border wall funding (248-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
40.9%
Plus-minus
-40.9
March 8 Updating ethics rules, expanding voting rights and requiring presidential candidates to disclose tax returns (234-193)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
54.0%
Plus-minus
-54.0
Feb. 28 Giving law enforcement agencies more time to conduct background checks for gun sales (228-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
58.5%
Plus-minus
-58.5
Feb. 27 Requiring background checks for all firearm sales (240-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
39.2%
Plus-minus
-39.2
Feb. 26 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (245-182)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
41.0%
Plus-minus
-41.0
Feb. 13 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (248-177)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
42.9%
Plus-minus
-42.9
Jan. 24 Funding the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (231-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
54.0%
Plus-minus
-54.0
Jan. 23 Funding most of the federal government through Sept. 30, without money for a border wall (234-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
50.3%
Plus-minus
-50.3
Jan. 23 Funding the federal government through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (229-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
53.7%
Plus-minus
-53.7
Jan. 17 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.1%
Plus-minus
-7.1
Jan. 16 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.7%
Plus-minus
-44.7
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.6%
Plus-minus
-44.6
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
40.1%
Plus-minus
-40.1
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
40.5%
Plus-minus
-40.5
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
38.3%
Plus-minus
-38.3
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
43.0%
Plus-minus
-43.0
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.3%
Plus-minus
-44.3
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Slotkin Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
46.4%
Plus-minus
-46.4
Average
0.0%
44.0%
-44.0

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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