UPDATED Jan. 15, 2019 at 3:45 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Joseph D. Morelle

D
Democratic representative for New York’s 25th District
Trump score
How often Morelle votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Morelle is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Morelle’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
20.0%
-16.4 
19.9%
+0.1 
116th Congress
0.0%
-16.4 
0.0%
0.0 
115th Congress
66.7%
-16.4 
66.2%
+0.5 
Trump score
How often Morelle votes in line with Trump’s position
20.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
-16.4 
Predicted score
How often Morelle is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
19.9%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Morelle’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+0.1 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Democratic representative for New York’s 25th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionMorelle VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Average
0.0%
0.0%
0.0

115th Congress (2017-18)

Democratic representative for New York’s 25th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionMorelle VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 20, 2018 Extension of government funding, including $5.7 billion for border wall (217-185)
Trump Position
support
Morelle Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.4%
Plus-minus
-6.4
Dec. 20, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (358-36)
Trump Position
support
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.4%
Plus-minus
+1.6
Dec. 12, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (369-47)
Trump Position
support
Morelle Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.6%
Plus-minus
+6.4
Average
66.7%
66.2%
+0.5

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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