Get notified when new votes are added

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Kelly Armstrong

R
Republican representative for North Dakota’s at large district
Trump score
How often Armstrong votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Armstrong is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Armstrong’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
93.8%
+35.7 
96.8%
-3.1 
116th Congress
93.8%
+35.7 
96.8%
-3.1 
Trump score
How often Armstrong votes in line with Trump’s position
93.8%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+35.7 
Predicted score
How often Armstrong is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
96.8%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Armstrong’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-3.1 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for North Dakota’s at large district
DateMeasureTrump PositionArmstrong VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
June 26 Funding the Treasury Department, the IRS, the Executive Office of the President and other agencies (224-196)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 25 Providing humanitarian aid for the U.S.-Mexico border (230-195)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.8%
Plus-minus
+3.2
June 25 Funding the Department of Commerce, the Department of Justice and several other parts of the government (227-194)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 19 Funding much of the federal government, including the departments of Defense, Labor, Education, State, and Health and Human Services (226-203)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.5%
Plus-minus
+2.5
June 4 Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
May 22 Reversing changes to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (231-191)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
——
May 16 Lowering prescription drug costs and reversing changes to the Affordable Care Act (234-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
May 15 Reaffirming the Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe reservation in Massachusetts (275-146)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
84.2%
Plus-minus
-84.2
May 10 Providing disaster relief money, including additional aid for Puerto Rico (257-150)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.8%
Plus-minus
+5.2
May 9 Blocking the Trump administration from granting Affordable Care Act waivers to states (230-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
May 2 Blocking President Trump from withdrawing from the Paris agreement on climate change (231-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
April 10 Restoring net neutrality regulations (232-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
April 4 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (247-175)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.6%
Plus-minus
+4.4
April 3 Condemning the Trump administration for calling on courts to invalidate the Affordable Care Act (240-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
March 28 Opposing a ban on openly transgender people serving in the military (238-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
March 26 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill that overturned his emergency declaration for border wall funding (248-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
March 8 Updating ethics rules, expanding voting rights and requiring presidential candidates to disclose tax returns (234-193)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Feb. 28 Giving law enforcement agencies more time to conduct background checks for gun sales (228-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Feb. 27 Requiring background checks for all firearm sales (240-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Feb. 26 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (245-182)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Feb. 13 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (248-177)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.4%
Plus-minus
+4.6
Jan. 24 Funding the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (231-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.6%
Plus-minus
+0.4
Jan. 23 Funding most of the federal government through Sept. 30, without money for a border wall (234-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
Jan. 23 Funding the federal government through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (229-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.6%
Plus-minus
+0.4
Jan. 17 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
35.7%
Plus-minus
-35.7
Jan. 16 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Armstrong Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Average
93.8%
96.8%
-3.1

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

Comments