UPDATED Jan. 15, 2019 at 3:45 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Kevin Hern

R
Republican representative for Oklahoma’s 1st District
Trump score
How often Hern votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Hern is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Hern’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
100.0%
+28.7 
96.2%
+3.8 
116th Congress
100.0%
+28.7 
99.9%
+0.1 
115th Congress
100.0%
+28.7 
87.7%
+12.3 
Trump score
How often Hern votes in line with Trump’s position
100.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+28.7 
Predicted score
How often Hern is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
96.2%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Hern’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+3.8 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for Oklahoma’s 1st District
DateMeasureTrump PositionHern VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Hern Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Hern Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Hern Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Hern Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Hern Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Hern Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Hern Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Average
100.0%
99.9%
+0.1

115th Congress (2017-18)

Republican representative for Oklahoma’s 1st District
DateMeasureTrump PositionHern VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 20, 2018 Extension of government funding, including $5.7 billion for border wall (217-185)
Trump Position
support
Hern Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Dec. 20, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (358-36)
Trump Position
support
Hern Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
82.1%
Plus-minus
+17.9
Dec. 12, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (369-47)
Trump Position
support
Hern Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
81.2%
Plus-minus
+18.8
Average
100.0%
87.7%
+12.3

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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