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Trump score How often Hall voted in line with Trump’s position | Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | Predicted score How often Hall was expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | Trump plus-minus Difference between Hall’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 50.0% | -73.1 | 57.3% | -7.3 |
| 116th Congress | 50.0% | -73.1 | 57.3% | -7.3 |
Trump score How often Hall votes in line with Trump’s position | 50.0% |
|---|---|
| Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | -73.1 |
Predicted score How often Hall is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | 57.3% |
Trump plus-minus Difference between Hall’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | -7.3 |
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Hall Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (322-87) | Trump Position oppose | Hall Vote Yes | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 6.9% | Plus-minus -6.9 |
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Increasing coronavirus-related stimulus payments to $2,000 from $600 (275-134) | Trump Position support | Hall Vote Yes | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 100.0% | Plus-minus 0.0 |
| Dec. 21, 2020 | Pandemic aid bill (359-53) | Trump Position support | Hall Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.9% | Plus-minus +0.1 |
| Dec. 8, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (335-78) | Trump Position oppose | Hall Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 22.4% | Plus-minus -22.4 |
| Average | 50.0% | 57.3% | -7.3 | |||
See more about Kwanza Hall at ProPublica
Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »
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