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Trump score How often Rose votes in line with Trump’s position | Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | Predicted score How often Rose is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | Trump plus-minus Difference between Rose’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 0.0% | +9.8 | 60.6% | -60.6 |
| 116th Congress | 0.0% | +9.8 | 60.6% | -60.6 |
Trump score How often Rose votes in line with Trump’s position | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | +9.8 |
Predicted score How often Rose is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | 60.6% |
Trump plus-minus Difference between Rose’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | -60.6 |
See more about Max N. Rose at ProPublica
Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »
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