UPDATED Oct. 10, 2018 at 2:05 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Michael Cloud

R
Republican representative for Texas’s 27th District beginning July 10, 2018
Trump score
How often Cloud votes in line with Trump's position
Trump margin
Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Texas’s 27th District minus Clinton's
Predicted score
How often Cloud is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Cloud’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
100.0%
+23.6 
99.2%
+0.8 
Trump score
How often Cloud votes in line with Trump's position
100.0%
Trump margin
Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Texas’s 27th District minus Clinton's
+23.6 
Predicted score
How often Cloud is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin
99.2%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Cloud’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+0.8 
DateMeasureTrump PositionCloud VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Sept. 28 Making permanent the individual tax reductions passed in 2017 (220-191)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
Sept. 27 Allowing new businesses to deduct more of their start-up expenses (260-156)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Sept. 27 Making changes to savings accounts for retirement and education (240-177)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 25 Making changes to health savings accounts, including allowing them to be used for over-the-counter medications (277-142)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
July 25 Expanding eligibility for health savings accounts (242-176)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 24 Eliminating the medical device tax (283-132)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.5%
Plus-minus
+2.5
July 19 Opposing a carbon tax (229-180)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
July 18 Expressing support for the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency and denouncing calls for its abolishment (244-35)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Average
100.0%
99.2%
+0.8

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump's 2016 vote margin in every member's state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member's vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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