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Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Michael Cloud

R
Republican representative for Texas’s 27th District
Trump score
How often Cloud votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Cloud is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Cloud’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
90.0%
+23.6 
93.7%
-3.7 
116th Congress
88.9%
+23.6 
90.3%
-1.4 
115th Congress
90.9%
+23.6 
96.5%
-5.6 
Trump score
How often Cloud votes in line with Trump’s position
90.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+23.6 
Predicted score
How often Cloud is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
93.7%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Cloud’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-3.7 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for Texas’s 27th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionCloud VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 17 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
20.4%
Plus-minus
-20.4
Jan. 16 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.4%
Plus-minus
+0.6
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.4%
Plus-minus
+0.6
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.7%
Plus-minus
+1.3
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.3%
Plus-minus
+1.7
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.9%
Plus-minus
+1.1
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.4%
Plus-minus
+0.6
Average
88.9%
90.3%
-1.4

115th Congress (2017-18)

Republican representative for Texas’s 27th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionCloud VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 20, 2018 Extension of government funding, including $5.7 billion for border wall (217-185)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.1%
Plus-minus
+0.9
Dec. 20, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (358-36)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
85.5%
Plus-minus
-85.5
Dec. 12, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (369-47)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
83.1%
Plus-minus
+16.9
Sept. 28, 2018 Making permanent the individual tax reductions passed in 2017 (220-191)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
Sept. 27, 2018 Allowing new businesses to deduct more of their start-up expenses (260-156)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Sept. 27, 2018 Making changes to savings accounts for retirement and education (240-177)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 25, 2018 Making changes to health savings accounts, including allowing them to be used for over-the-counter medications (277-142)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
July 25, 2018 Expanding eligibility for health savings accounts (242-176)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 24, 2018 Eliminating the medical device tax (283-132)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.5%
Plus-minus
+2.5
July 19, 2018 Opposing a carbon tax (229-180)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
July 18, 2018 Expressing support for the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency and denouncing calls for its abolishment (244-35)
Trump Position
support
Cloud Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Average
90.9%
96.5%
-5.6

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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