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Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Ross Spano

R
Republican representative for Florida’s 15th District
Trump score
How often Spano votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Spano is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Spano’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
88.9%
+10.0 
56.2%
+32.6 
116th Congress
88.9%
+10.0 
56.2%
+32.6 
Trump score
How often Spano votes in line with Trump’s position
88.9%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+10.0 
Predicted score
How often Spano is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
56.2%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Spano’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+32.6 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for Florida’s 15th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionSpano VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 17 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
8.9%
Plus-minus
-8.9
Jan. 16 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
64.8%
Plus-minus
+35.2
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
64.8%
Plus-minus
+35.2
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
59.1%
Plus-minus
+40.9
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
59.5%
Plus-minus
+40.5
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
56.9%
Plus-minus
+43.1
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
62.0%
Plus-minus
+38.0
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
63.8%
Plus-minus
+36.2
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Spano Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
66.3%
Plus-minus
+33.7
Average
88.9%
56.2%
+32.6

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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