UPDATED Jan. 15, 2019 at 3:45 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Steve Watkins

R
Republican representative for Kansas’s 2nd District
Trump score
How often Watkins votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Watkins is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Watkins’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
100.0%
+18.4 
93.8%
+6.2 
116th Congress
100.0%
+18.4 
93.8%
+6.2 
Trump score
How often Watkins votes in line with Trump’s position
100.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+18.4 
Predicted score
How often Watkins is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
93.8%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Watkins’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+6.2 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for Kansas’s 2nd District
DateMeasureTrump PositionWatkins VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Watkins Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.4%
Plus-minus
+4.6
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Watkins Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.7%
Plus-minus
+7.3
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Watkins Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.8%
Plus-minus
+7.2
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Watkins Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.6%
Plus-minus
+8.4
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Watkins Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.8%
Plus-minus
+6.2
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Watkins Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.7%
Plus-minus
+5.3
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Watkins Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.8%
Plus-minus
+4.2
Average
100.0%
93.8%
+6.2

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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