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Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Troy Balderson

R
Republican representative for Ohio’s 12th District
Trump score
How often Balderson votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Balderson is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Balderson’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
94.7%
+11.3 
72.1%
+22.7 
116th Congress
92.3%
+11.3 
63.2%
+29.1 
115th Congress
100.0%
+11.3 
91.2%
+8.8 
Trump score
How often Balderson votes in line with Trump’s position
94.7%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+11.3 
Predicted score
How often Balderson is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
72.1%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Balderson’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+22.7 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for Ohio’s 12th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionBalderson VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Feb. 13 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (248-177)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
54.7%
Plus-minus
+45.3
Jan. 24 Funding the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (231-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.3%
Plus-minus
+30.7
Jan. 23 Funding most of the federal government through Sept. 30, without money for a border wall (234-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
65.1%
Plus-minus
+34.9
Jan. 23 Funding the federal government through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (229-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.1%
Plus-minus
+30.9
Jan. 17 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
9.8%
Plus-minus
-9.8
Jan. 16 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
72.0%
Plus-minus
+28.0
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.9%
Plus-minus
+28.1
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
66.3%
Plus-minus
+33.7
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
66.6%
Plus-minus
+33.4
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
64.1%
Plus-minus
+35.9
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.0%
Plus-minus
+31.0
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.8%
Plus-minus
+29.2
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
73.3%
Plus-minus
+26.7
Average
92.3%
63.2%
+29.1

115th Congress (2017-18)

Republican representative for Ohio’s 12th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionBalderson VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 20, 2018 Extension of government funding, including $5.7 billion for border wall (217-185)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.0%
Plus-minus
+12.0
Dec. 20, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (358-36)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.9%
Plus-minus
+8.1
Dec. 12, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (369-47)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
87.1%
Plus-minus
+12.9
Sept. 28, 2018 Making permanent the individual tax reductions passed in 2017 (220-191)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
87.7%
Plus-minus
+12.3
Sept. 27, 2018 Allowing new businesses to deduct more of their start-up expenses (260-156)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.2%
Plus-minus
+2.8
Sept. 27, 2018 Making changes to savings accounts for retirement and education (240-177)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.4%
Plus-minus
+4.6
Average
100.0%
91.2%
+8.8

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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