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Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Troy Balderson

R
Republican representative for Ohio’s 12th District
Trump score
How often Balderson votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Balderson is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Balderson’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
97.1%
+11.3 
70.3%
+26.8 
116th Congress
96.6%
+11.3 
66.0%
+30.5 
115th Congress
100.0%
+11.3 
91.2%
+8.8 
Trump score
How often Balderson votes in line with Trump’s position
97.1%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+11.3 
Predicted score
How often Balderson is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
70.3%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Balderson’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+26.8 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for Ohio’s 12th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionBalderson VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
June 4 Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.1%
Plus-minus
+29.9
May 22 Reversing changes to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (231-191)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
76.5%
Plus-minus
+23.5
May 16 Lowering prescription drug costs and reversing changes to the Affordable Care Act (234-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
74.0%
Plus-minus
+26.0
May 15 Reaffirming the Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe reservation in Massachusetts (275-146)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
41.4%
Plus-minus
+58.6
May 10 Providing disaster relief money, including additional aid for Puerto Rico (257-150)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.3%
Plus-minus
+55.7
May 9 Blocking the Trump administration from granting Affordable Care Act waivers to states (230-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
72.0%
Plus-minus
+28.0
May 2 Blocking President Trump from withdrawing from the Paris agreement on climate change (231-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
74.7%
Plus-minus
+25.3
April 10 Restoring net neutrality regulations (232-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
74.7%
Plus-minus
+25.3
April 4 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (247-175)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
55.4%
Plus-minus
+44.6
April 3 Condemning the Trump administration for calling on courts to invalidate the Affordable Care Act (240-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
73.6%
Plus-minus
+26.4
March 28 Opposing a ban on openly transgender people serving in the military (238-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.5%
Plus-minus
+29.5
March 26 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill that overturned his emergency declaration for border wall funding (248-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
60.3%
Plus-minus
+39.7
March 8 Updating ethics rules, expanding voting rights and requiring presidential candidates to disclose tax returns (234-193)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
77.3%
Plus-minus
+22.7
Feb. 28 Giving law enforcement agencies more time to conduct background checks for gun sales (228-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.9%
Plus-minus
+11.1
Feb. 27 Requiring background checks for all firearm sales (240-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
78.2%
Plus-minus
+21.8
Feb. 26 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (245-182)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
60.4%
Plus-minus
+39.6
Feb. 13 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (248-177)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
54.7%
Plus-minus
+45.3
Jan. 24 Funding the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (231-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.3%
Plus-minus
+30.7
Jan. 23 Funding most of the federal government through Sept. 30, without money for a border wall (234-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
65.1%
Plus-minus
+34.9
Jan. 23 Funding the federal government through Feb. 28, without money for a border wall (229-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.1%
Plus-minus
+30.9
Jan. 17 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
9.8%
Plus-minus
-9.8
Jan. 16 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
72.0%
Plus-minus
+28.0
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.9%
Plus-minus
+28.1
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
66.3%
Plus-minus
+33.7
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
66.6%
Plus-minus
+33.4
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
64.1%
Plus-minus
+35.9
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.0%
Plus-minus
+31.0
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.8%
Plus-minus
+29.2
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Balderson Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
73.3%
Plus-minus
+26.7
Average
96.6%
66.0%
+30.5

115th Congress (2017-18)

Republican representative for Ohio’s 12th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionBalderson VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 20, 2018 Extension of government funding, including $5.7 billion for border wall (217-185)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.0%
Plus-minus
+12.0
Dec. 20, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (358-36)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.9%
Plus-minus
+8.1
Dec. 12, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (369-47)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
87.1%
Plus-minus
+12.9
Sept. 28, 2018 Making permanent the individual tax reductions passed in 2017 (220-191)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
87.7%
Plus-minus
+12.3
Sept. 27, 2018 Allowing new businesses to deduct more of their start-up expenses (260-156)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.2%
Plus-minus
+2.8
Sept. 27, 2018 Making changes to savings accounts for retirement and education (240-177)
Trump Position
support
Balderson Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.4%
Plus-minus
+4.6
Average
100.0%
91.2%
+8.8

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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