Our polling averages for these races are final and no longer updating.

UPDATED Jan. 5, 2021, at 8:57 AM

Latest Polls Of The Georgia Senate Runoffs

Two runoff elections on Jan. 5 will determine which party controls the Senate

No candidate in either of Georgia’s Senate races won a majority of the vote on Nov. 3, triggering a runoff for both seats, with the top two candidates in each race facing off. Control of the Senate now hinges on the outcome of these two races.

Georgia’s regular Senate election

Republican Sen. David Perdue is running for reelection against Democrat Jon Ossoff in a regularly scheduled election.

Georgia’s special Senate election

Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler faces Democrat Raphael Warnock in a special election. Loeffler was appointed to fill former Sen. Johnny Isakson’s seat after he resigned.

The Senate currently stands at 50 Republicans and 48 Democrats. If Democrats win both runoffs, the party will have control of the chamber because Vice President-elect Kamala Harris would break any ties. But if Republicans win one of the two races, they will maintain control.

All runoff polls

FiveThirtyEight’s averages use all runoff polls conducted since the Nov. 3 general election. We adjust polls for house effects based on how much each poll differs from the polling consensus.

DatesPollsterSample
Jan. 2-4857LV
Perdue
47%
51%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +5
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +3
Loeffler
47%
51%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +4
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +3
Jan. 2-3500LV
Perdue
45%
46%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +1
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +4
Loeffler
45%
46%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +1
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +4
Dec. 30-Jan. 3713LV
Perdue
50%
50%
Ossoff
LeaderTie
Adjusted LeaderTie
Loeffler
49%
51%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +2
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2
Dec. 30-Jan. 3550LV
Perdue
49%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +1
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1
Loeffler
49%
48%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +1
Adjusted LeaderTie
Jan. 3500LV
Perdue
49%
49%
Ossoff
LeaderTie
Adjusted LeaderTie
Loeffler
49%
49%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +1
Adjusted LeaderTie
Dec. 25-Jan. 11,680LV
Perdue
47%
51%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +4
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +3
Loeffler
47%
51%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +4
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +3
Dec. 29-301,011LV
Perdue
47%
50%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +3
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +2
Loeffler
47%
49%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +2
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2
Dec. 28-29500LV
Perdue
45%
53%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +8
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +7
Loeffler
45%
54%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +9
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +8
Dec. 23-271,022LV
Perdue
48%
50%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +3
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +5
Loeffler
49%
50%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +1
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +5
Dec. 21-271,405LV
Perdue
50%
46%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +4
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +2
Loeffler
50%
46%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +4
Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +2
Dec. 18-22578LV
Perdue
47%
50%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +3
Adjusted LeaderTie
Loeffler
47%
50%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +3
Adjusted LeaderTie
Dec. 14-221,027LV
Perdue
43%
42%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +1
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1
Loeffler
42%
43%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +1
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1
Dec. 21-22500LV
Perdue
49%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +2
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1
Loeffler
47%
49%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +1
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2
Dec. 16-20600LV
Perdue
46%
51%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +5
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +4
Loeffler
45%
52%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +7
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +5
Dec. 14-16605LV
Perdue
51%
49%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +2
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1
Loeffler
51%
49%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +2
Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +2
Dec. 14-161,064LV
Perdue
50%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +3
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1
Loeffler
52%
46%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +7
Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +2
Dec. 10-141,500LV
Perdue
51%
47%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +4
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +3
Loeffler
50%
48%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +3
Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +1
Dec. 14500LV
Perdue
49%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +1
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1
Loeffler
49%
48%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +1
Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +1
Dec. 8-141,417LV
Perdue
47%
49%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +2
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +1
Loeffler
48%
49%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +1
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1
Dec. 8-101,018LV
Perdue
49%
49%
Ossoff
LeaderTie
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +2
Loeffler
50%
47%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +3
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1
Nov. 30-Dec. 41,250LV
Perdue
46%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +2
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +1
Loeffler
46%
47%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +1
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1
Dec. 1-31,083LV
Perdue
47%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +1
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +3
Loeffler
50%
45%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +5
Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +1
Nov. 27-30583LV
Perdue
48%
50%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +2
Adjusted LeaderOssoff +1
Loeffler
45%
52%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +7
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +5
Nov. 19-241,377LV
Perdue
47%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderOssoff +1
Adjusted LeaderTie
Loeffler
46%
48%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +2
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2
Nov. 15-201,476LV
Perdue
50%
48%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +2
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +4
Loeffler
47%
50%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +3
Adjusted LeaderTie
Nov. 16800LV
Perdue
49%
49%
Ossoff
LeaderTie
Adjusted LeaderTie
Loeffler
48%
49%
Warnock
LeaderWarnock +1
Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1
Nov. 10300LV
Loeffler
50%
46%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +4
Adjusted LeaderTie
Nov. 8-91,450LV
Perdue
50%
46%
Ossoff
LeaderPerdue +4
Adjusted LeaderPerdue +3
Loeffler
49%
48%
Warnock
LeaderLoeffler +1
Adjusted LeaderTie
DatesPollsterSample
Perdue
Ossoff
LeaderAdjusted Leader
Loeffler
Warnock
LeaderAdjusted Leader
Jan. 2-4857LV
47%
51%
Ossoff +5Ossoff +3
47%
51%
Warnock +4Warnock +3
Jan. 2-3500LV
45%
46%
Ossoff +1Ossoff +4
45%
46%
Warnock +1Warnock +4
Dec. 30-Jan. 3713LV
50%
50%
TieTie
49%
51%
Warnock +2Warnock +2
Dec. 30-Jan. 3550LV
49%
48%
Perdue +1Perdue +1
49%
48%
Loeffler +1Tie
Jan. 3500LV
49%
49%
TieTie
49%
49%
Loeffler +1Tie
Dec. 25-Jan. 11,680LV
47%
51%
Ossoff +4Ossoff +3
47%
51%
Warnock +4Warnock +3
Dec. 29-301,011LV
47%
50%
Ossoff +3Ossoff +2
47%
49%
Warnock +2Warnock +2
Dec. 28-29500LV
45%
53%
Ossoff +8Ossoff +7
45%
54%
Warnock +9Warnock +8
Dec. 23-271,022LV
48%
50%
Ossoff +3Ossoff +5
49%
50%
Warnock +1Warnock +5
Dec. 21-271,405LV
50%
46%
Perdue +4Perdue +2
50%
46%
Loeffler +4Loeffler +2
Dec. 18-22578LV
47%
50%
Ossoff +3Tie
47%
50%
Warnock +3Tie
Dec. 14-221,027LV
43%
42%
Perdue +1Perdue +1
42%
43%
Warnock +1Warnock +1
Dec. 21-22500LV
49%
48%
Perdue +2Perdue +1
47%
49%
Warnock +1Warnock +2
Dec. 16-20600LV
46%
51%
Ossoff +5Ossoff +4
45%
52%
Warnock +7Warnock +5
Dec. 14-16605LV
51%
49%
Perdue +2Perdue +1
51%
49%
Loeffler +2Loeffler +2
Dec. 14-161,064LV
50%
48%
Perdue +3Perdue +1
52%
46%
Loeffler +7Loeffler +2
Dec. 10-141,500LV
51%
47%
Perdue +4Perdue +3
50%
48%
Loeffler +3Loeffler +1
Dec. 14500LV
49%
48%
Perdue +1Perdue +1
49%
48%
Loeffler +1Loeffler +1
Dec. 8-141,417LV
47%
49%
Ossoff +2Ossoff +1
48%
49%
Warnock +1Warnock +1
Dec. 8-101,018LV
49%
49%
TieOssoff +2
50%
47%
Loeffler +3Warnock +1
Nov. 30-Dec. 41,250LV
46%
48%
Ossoff +2Ossoff +1
46%
47%
Warnock +1Warnock +1
Dec. 1-31,083LV
47%
48%
Ossoff +1Ossoff +3
50%
45%
Loeffler +5Loeffler +1
Nov. 27-30583LV
48%
50%
Ossoff +2Ossoff +1
45%
52%
Warnock +7Warnock +5
Nov. 19-241,377LV
47%
48%
Ossoff +1Tie
46%
48%
Warnock +2Warnock +2
Nov. 15-201,476LV
50%
48%
Perdue +2Perdue +4
47%
50%
Warnock +3Tie
Nov. 16800LV
49%
49%
TieTie
48%
49%
Warnock +1Warnock +1
Nov. 10300LV
50%
46%
Loeffler +4Tie
Nov. 8-91,450LV
50%
46%
Perdue +4Perdue +3
49%
48%
Loeffler +1Tie

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