PUBLISHED Mar. 25, 2021, at 10:00 AM

FiveThirtyEight’s Pollster Ratings

Based on the historical accuracy and methodology of each polling organization’s polls.

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Pollsteri538 GradeiPredictive +/-iPolls AnalyzediMean-Reverted Biasi
A
-0.9
834
D+0.0
B
0.0
748
R+1.5
B-
+0.5
477
R+0.7
B+
-0.3
455
D+0.7
A-
-0.4
454
D+0.9
A-
-0.4
445
R+0.5
C+
+0.7
277
D+0.1
C
+1.0
268
D+4.7
A-
-0.3
219
D+0.5
A-
-0.4
201
D+0.8
A
-0.7
189
D+0.1
B+
-0.1
182
R+1.1
B
+0.1
153
D+1.5
B
0.0
140
D+1.1
B-
+0.5
122
D+2.4
A
-0.7
120
D+2.1
B-
+0.5
109
D+2.9
B-
+0.3
104
D+1.6
B
+0.1
103
R+0.0
B+
-0.3
90
D+0.9
C
+1.2
89
D+4.1
B+
-0.2
84
R+0.6
A+
-1.0
83
D+1.1
A+
-1.0
82
D+0.9
A-
-0.4
77
R+1.5
A-
-0.4
76
R+1.3
B
+0.1
73
D+3.3
C-
+1.4
72
D+1.3
B
+0.3
66
D+2.9
A-
-0.4
62
D+0.3
B
0.0
57
D+2.1
B-
+0.5
56
R+0.9
A
-0.8
55
R+0.5
B
0.0
54
D+0.1
A+
-1.2
50
D+0.1
A
-0.8
48
D+1.4
A
-0.7
46
D+1.8
B+
-0.2
46
D+0.6
B+
-0.2
45
D+1.0
B
+0.3
43
D+1.8
B
+0.3
42
D+0.9
A
-0.8
40
R+0.6
A/B
0.0
39
R+1.3
A/B
-0.4
36
R+0.2
A/B
-0.1
35
R+0.5
A/B
-0.1
35
D+0.4
B-
+0.5
35
D+0.9
B+
-0.3
35
R+0.2
A/B
-0.2
34
R+0.3
B+
-0.1
34
D+0.8
C+
+0.9
33
R+2.6
B+
-0.2
32
R+0.1
B+
-0.2
31
R+1.2
A+
-0.9
31
R+0.8
B+
-0.2
31
R+0.9
C
+1.0
30
D+2.7
B-
+0.3
29
D+2.0
A/B
-0.4
29
D+0.6
C/D
+1.6
27
R+1.6
B/C
+0.2
26
D+1.7
B+
-0.1
26
R+0.1
B+
-0.2
26
D+0.8
B-
+0.3
25
D+2.9
A/B
-0.9
25
R+0.7
B/C
+0.9
25
D+1.8
B-
+0.4
25
D+1.9
A/B
-0.2
25
R+1.1
B/C
0.0
25
D+0.7
B-
+0.4
25
D+3.5
C+
+0.7
25
D+2.7
B-
+0.6
24
R+0.1
B/C
+1.1
24
R+3.1
B/C
+0.4
23
D+0.5
A
-0.7
22
D+0.4
A/B
-0.1
22
D+1.0
A/B
-0.1
22
D+0.1
A/B
-0.3
21
D+0.8
A/B
-0.1
21
D+0.2
B/C
+0.6
20
D+1.3
A/B
-0.3
20
R+0.6
B+
-0.2
20
D+2.1
A/B
-0.3
20
R+0.2
A/B
-0.7
20
R+0.8
A/B
-0.5
19
R+0.7
B/C
+1.1
19
R+0.1
B/C
+0.8
19
R+0.2
A/B
0.0
19
R+1.2
B/C
+0.2
19
R+1.1
B/C
+0.6
19
D+2.3
A/B
-0.1
19
D+0.4
A/B
-0.1
18
R+0.6
B/C
+1.0
18
D+1.5
B/C
+0.1
18
R+0.5
B/C
+1.0
18
D+0.6
B/C
+0.6
17
D+0.7
B/C
+0.2
17
D+0.8
A/B
-0.4
17
R+1.1
B/C
+0.8
17
R+0.7
B/C
+0.8
16
R+1.9
B/C
+0.2
16
D+1.3
B/C
+1.0
16
D+0.3
B/C
+0.9
16
D+1.5
B/C
+0.5
15
R+0.3
A/B
-0.4
15
R+0.4
B/C
+1.1
15
D+2.6
B/C
+0.2
15
R+0.4
B/C
+0.6
14
R+0.1
B/C
+0.1
14
D+0.5
B/C
+0.4
14
D+0.1
C/D
+1.7
14
D+2.0
A/B
0.0
14
D+0.8
B/C
+0.5
14
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
13
D+0.0
A/B
-0.4
13
D+1.0
A/B
-0.6
13
D+0.6
B/C
+1.1
13
D+1.4
B/C
+0.5
13
R+0.8
A/B
-0.9
13
D+0.4
B/C
+0.4
13
D+0.3
C/D
+1.5
12
R+0.3
B/C
+1.1
12
D+2.8
B/C
+0.1
12
D+1.1
B/C
+0.2
12
D+1.5
C/D
+1.9
12
D+0.6
A/B
-0.1
12
D+0.8
B/C
+0.5
12
R+0.7
A/B
-0.2
12
R+0.1
B/C
+0.8
12
D+0.9
B/C
+0.5
12
R+1.6
B/C
+0.1
12
D+0.6
B/C
+0.2
12
R+0.0
B/C
+0.6
11
D+1.1
B/C
+0.5
11
R+1.1
B/C
+0.3
11
D+1.6
B/C
+0.2
11
D+0.7
B/C
0.0
11
D+0.6
B/C
+0.3
11
D+0.1
B/C
+0.8
11
D+2.0
C/D
+2.2
11
D+3.8
B/C
+0.4
11
R+0.4
A/B
-0.6
11
D+0.9
A/B
-0.4
11
R+0.2
B/C
+0.4
11
R+0.2
B/C
+0.2
11
D+0.3
A/B
-0.1
11
R+0.4
A/B
-0.2
10
D+0.8
B/C
+0.6
10
D+0.8
B/C
+0.3
10
D+1.5
B/C
+0.8
10
D+0.9
C/D
+1.7
10
D+1.9
B/C
+0.9
10
R+0.6
A/B
-0.3
10
R+0.2
B/C
+1.0
10
D+0.3
A/B
-0.4
10
D+1.1
A/B
-0.5
10
D+0.9
B/C
+0.4
10
D+0.9
B/C
+0.6
9
D+1.9
A/B
-0.2
9
D+0.7
B/C
+0.8
9
D+1.0
B/C
+0.3
9
R+0.1
B/C
+0.9
9
R+0.4
B/C
+0.1
9
R+0.6
B/C
+0.7
9
D+2.2
B/C
+0.3
9
D+0.5
B/C
+0.2
9
D+1.4
B/C
+0.2
9
R+0.4
B/C
+0.4
9
D+0.1
B/C
+0.8
8
D+0.5
B/C
0.0
8
R+0.8
B/C
+0.9
8
D+0.6
A/B
0.0
8
D+0.0
B/C
+0.8
8
R+0.3
B/C
+0.6
8
R+0.0
A/B
-0.3
8
D+0.5
A/B
-0.5
8
R+0.7
B/C
+1.1
8
D+0.3
A/B
-0.2
8
R+0.3
B/C
+0.7
8
D+0.1
B/C
+0.1
8
D+0.6
B/C
+0.7
8
D+0.7
B/C
+0.5
8
D+0.4
A/B
0.0
8
R+0.1
B/C
+0.8
8
D+1.3
A/B
-0.1
7
D+0.4
B/C
+0.7
7
B/C
+0.4
7
D+0.8
B/C
+0.7
7
D+0.1
B/C
+0.4
7
R+0.7
B/C
+0.3
7
R+0.1
B/C
+0.5
7
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
7
R+1.1
B/C
+0.8
7
D+1.3
B/C
+0.5
7
R+0.1
B/C
+0.6
7
D+0.1
A/B
-0.2
7
R+0.2
B/C
+0.5
7
D+0.9
B/C
+0.2
7
R+0.0
B/C
+0.8
6
R+1.0
B/C
+0.5
6
D+1.2
B/C
+0.9
6
D+2.0
B/C
+0.2
6
R+0.2
B/C
+0.5
6
D+0.5
B/C
+0.5
6
R+0.1
C/D
+2.9
6
R+1.4
B/C
+0.7
6
R+1.0
B/C
+0.4
6
D+0.1
B/C
+0.4
6
D+0.0
B/C
+0.7
6
R+0.5
C/D
+1.5
6
B/C
+0.7
6
C/D
+1.4
6
D+1.8
C/D
+1.4
6
R+0.6
A/B
-0.2
6
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
5
D+0.4
C/D
+1.3
5
R+1.9
B/C
+0.8
5
R+0.5
B/C
0.0
5
R+0.1
B/C
+0.9
5
D+0.1
B/C
+1.0
5
D+2.0
B/C
+0.6
5
D+0.4
B/C
+1.0
5
D+0.9
B/C
+0.9
5
D+0.4
B/C
+0.7
5
R+0.3
B/C
+0.6
5
R+1.1
B/C
+0.4
5
D+0.1
B/C
+0.3
5
D+0.4
B/C
+0.2
5
D+0.6
B/C
+1.0
5
R+0.6
B/C
+1.1
5
D+1.5
B/C
+0.6
5
R+0.1
A/B
0.0
5
D+0.5
A/B
-0.1
5
R+0.1
B/C
+0.2
5
R+0.5
B/C
+0.6
5
D+0.4
B/C
+0.7
5
D+0.3
B/C
+0.3
5
D+0.2
B/C
+0.6
5
D+0.1
B/C
+0.4
4
B/C
+0.6
4
D+0.7
B/C
+0.4
4
R+0.2
B/C
+1.2
4
D+2.1
B/C
+0.7
4
R+0.4
B/C
+1.3
4
B/C
+0.5
4
D+0.3
A/B
0.0
4
R+0.3
B/C
+1.0
4
R+0.8
B/C
+0.4
4
B/C
+0.6
4
D+0.3
B/C
+0.6
4
B/C
+0.5
4
R+0.1
A/B
-0.1
4
R+0.0
B/C
+0.5
4
R+0.2
B/C
+0.6
4
D+0.7
B/C
+1.2
4
D+1.2
B/C
+0.7
4
D+0.5
B/C
+0.7
4
R+0.0
A/B
-0.2
4
R+0.2
B/C
+0.4
4
D+0.1
B/C
0.0
4
R+0.2
B/C
+0.6
4
R+0.3
B/C
+0.5
4
D+0.2
B/C
+0.3
4
D+0.4
B/C
+0.6
4
D+0.2
B/C
+0.1
4
D+0.4
B/C
+0.2
4
D+0.4
B/C
+0.3
4
D+0.0
B/C
+0.4
4
D+0.5
B/C
+1.0
4
D+0.9
A/B
-0.1
4
R+0.2
B/C
+0.8
4
R+0.8
B/C
+0.6
3
R+0.0
B/C
+0.8
3
B/C
+0.6
3
D+0.1
B/C
+0.3
3
D+0.4
B/C
+0.9
3
D+0.9
B/C
+0.2
3
R+0.4
A/B
-0.2
3
B/C
+0.5
3
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
3
D+0.3
B/C
+0.6
3
B/C
+0.3
3
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
3
R+0.1
B/C
+0.7
3
D+0.0
B/C
+0.7
3
R+0.3
C/D
+2.0
3
B/C
+0.3
3
B/C
+0.4
3
R+0.1
A/B
-0.1
3
D+0.2
B/C
+0.8
3
D+0.5
B/C
+0.6
3
D+0.6
B/C
+0.6
3
R+0.2
B/C
+0.3
3
D+0.2
B/C
+0.5
3
D+0.3
B/C
+1.1
3
D+0.4
B/C
+0.6
3
R+0.1
B/C
0.0
3
D+0.1
B/C
+0.3
3
R+0.0
B/C
+0.5
3
B/C
+0.3
3
R+0.2
B/C
+0.6
3
R+0.7
B/C
+0.8
3
R+0.0
B/C
+1.1
3
D+0.1
B/C
+0.8
3
D+0.3
B/C
+0.2
3
B/C
+0.7
3
D+0.6
B/C
+0.4
3
R+0.1
B/C
+1.0
3
R+0.3
B/C
+0.5
3
R+0.1
C/D
+1.6
3
D+2.2
B/C
+0.6
3
D+0.2
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.5
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.8
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.7
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.3
A/B
-0.1
2
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.3
B/C
+0.5
2
D+0.1
B/C
+1.1
2
D+1.1
B/C
+1.0
2
R+0.1
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.3
C/D
+1.4
2
B/C
+0.7
2
R+0.4
B/C
+1.3
2
R+0.9
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.4
B/C
+0.4
2
B/C
+0.8
2
B/C
+0.9
2
D+0.9
B/C
+0.4
2
D+0.1
B/C
+0.5
2
R+0.1
B/C
+0.4
2
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.5
2
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.6
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.2
B/C
+1.2
2
D+0.3
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.5
B/C
+1.3
2
R+1.1
A/B
0.0
2
R+0.1
B/C
+0.4
2
R+0.4
B/C
+0.7
2
R+0.4
B/C
+0.7
2
R+0.4
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.6
B/C
+0.6
2
R+0.5
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.1
A/B
-0.1
2
D+0.0
B/C
+0.9
2
D+0.8
C/D
+2.8
2
D+3.0
B/C
+0.4
2
D+0.0
B/C
+1.1
2
D+1.1
B/C
+0.4
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.6
2
R+0.1
A/B
-0.1
2
D+0.0
B/C
+0.7
2
R+0.4
B/C
+1.0
2
R+0.5
B/C
+0.4
2
B/C
+0.5
2
B/C
+0.5
2
R+0.2
A/B
-0.2
2
R+0.0
B/C
+0.4
2
R+0.0
B/C
+0.6
2
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
2
B/C
+0.2
2
D+0.3
B/C
+0.8
2
R+0.6
B/C
+0.7
2
R+0.3
B/C
+0.9
2
D+0.7
B/C
+0.7
2
R+0.7
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.6
A/B
-0.1
2
B/C
+0.5
2
D+0.3
B/C
+0.6
2
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.6
2
R+0.0
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.4
B/C
+1.0
2
B/C
+0.8
2
R+0.4
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.0
B/C
+0.6
2
R+0.5
B/C
+1.2
2
B/C
+0.9
2
D+0.7
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.2
C/D
+1.4
2
R+1.4
C/D
+1.6
2
D+1.7
B/C
+0.8
2
R+0.4
B/C
+0.8
2
D+0.5
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.6
2
R+0.1
B/C
+0.8
2
R+0.4
B/C
+0.7
2
D+0.2
B/C
+0.2
2
D+0.0
B/C
+0.7
2
R+0.2
B/C
+0.5
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.5
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
B/C
+1.0
1
D+0.5
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.8
1
D+0.6
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.0
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.2
B/C
+0.8
1
D+0.4
B/C
+0.9
1
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.0
B/C
+1.1
1
D+0.7
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.5
1
R+0.2
B/C
+1.1
1
D+0.8
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.0
A/B
-0.1
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.0
B/C
+0.9
1
B/C
+0.9
1
D+0.5
B/C
+0.8
1
R+0.3
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.3
B/C
0.0
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.9
1
D+0.4
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.8
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.8
1
D+0.3
A/B
0.0
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.8
1
B/C
+0.6
1
B/C
+0.8
1
D+0.3
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.2
B/C
+0.5
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.6
1
B/C
+0.8
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.6
1
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
A/B
0.0
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.5
1
B/C
+0.6
1
A/B
-0.1
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.7
1
B/C
+0.7
1
B/C
+0.8
1
D+0.3
C/D
+1.4
1
D+0.9
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.5
1
R+0.0
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.4
B/C
+0.8
1
D+0.4
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.5
1
B/C
+0.7
1
B/C
+0.1
1
D+0.3
B/C
+0.5
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.6
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.5
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.1
A/B
0.0
1
D+0.0
B/C
+0.7
1
R+0.1
B/C
+0.5
1
B/C
0.0
1
R+0.2
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.7
1
B/C
+0.9
1
D+0.4
B/C
+0.8
1
D+0.4
B/C
+0.7
1
D+0.1
B/C
+0.9
1
R+0.5
B/C
+0.6
1
B/C
+0.6
1
B/C
+0.6
1
D+0.1
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