UPDATED Sep. 21, 2017 at 11:51 PM

Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight's NFL Predictions?

Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below. Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game.

But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and our game punishes overconfidence. For the full rules, read here. The margin of victory in each NFL game won’t affect your score.

Sign in using Google or Facebook to save your selections, and check back next week to see how well you did against FiveThirtyEight and everybody else playing the game.

Week 3

/ forecasts completed

Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
AtlantaATLAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
DetroitDETHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
ClevelandCLEAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
IndianapolisINDHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
DenverDENAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
BuffaloBUFHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
HoustonHOUAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
New EnglandNEHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
MiamiMIAAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
N.Y. JetsNYJHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
New OrleansNOAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
CarolinaCARHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
N.Y. GiantsNYGAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
PhiladelphiaPHIHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
PittsburghPITAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
ChicagoCHIHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 1 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
Tampa BayTBAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
MinnesotaMINHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 4:05 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 4:05 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
SeattleSEAAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
TennesseeTENHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 4:25 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 4:25 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
CincinnatiCINAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
Green BayGBHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 4:25 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 4:25 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
Kansas CityKCAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
L.A. ChargersLACHome
Sunday, Sept. 24
at 8:30 p.m.
Sunday, Sept. 24 at 8:30 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
OaklandOAKAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
WashingtonWSHHome
Monday, Sept. 25
at 8:30 p.m.
Monday, Sept. 25 at 8:30 p.m.
" + game.team2 + "-logo
DallasDALAway
" + game.team1 + "-logo
ArizonaARIHome

Check back Tuesday morning to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else.

and check back Tuesday morning to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else.

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Week 3 results

MatchupFiveThirtyEight
forecast
538
forecast
Your
forecast
Game scoreFiveThirtyEight
points
538
points
Your
points
BAL at JAX
BAL at JAX
" + game.team2 + "-logoBaltimoreBALat " + game.team1 + "-logoJacksonvilleJAXBAL70%
Live
LAR at SF
LAR 41,
SF 39
" + game.team2 + "-logoL.A. RamsLARat " + game.team1 + "-logoSan FranciscoSFLAR53%LAR 41, SF 39
Week 3 pointsWeek 3 pointsWeek 3 points

Week 2 results

MatchupFiveThirtyEight
forecast
538
forecast
Your
forecast
Game scoreFiveThirtyEight
points
538
points
Your
points
DET at NYG
DET 24,
NYG 10
" + game.team2 + "-logoDetroitDETat " + game.team1 + "-logoN.Y. GiantsNYGNYG57%DET 24, NYG 10
GB at ATL
GB 23,
ATL 34
" + game.team2 + "-logoGreen BayGBat " + game.team1 + "-logoAtlantaATLATL63%GB 23, ATL 34
DAL at DEN
DAL 17,
DEN 42
" + game.team2 + "-logoDallasDALat " + game.team1 + "-logoDenverDENDEN56%DAL 17, DEN 42
SF at SEA
SF 9,
SEA 12
" + game.team2 + "-logoSan FranciscoSFat " + game.team1 + "-logoSeattleSEASEA84%SF 9, SEA 12
WSH at LAR
WSH 27,
LAR 20
" + game.team2 + "-logoWashingtonWSHat " + game.team1 + "-logoL.A. RamsLARLAR55%WSH 27, LAR 20
MIA at LAC
MIA 19,
LAC 17
" + game.team2 + "-logoMiamiMIAat " + game.team1 + "-logoL.A. ChargersLACMIA52%MIA 19, LAC 17
NYJ at OAK
NYJ 20,
OAK 45
" + game.team2 + "-logoN.Y. JetsNYJat " + game.team1 + "-logoOaklandOAKOAK74%NYJ 20, OAK 45
ARI at IND
ARI 16,
IND 13
" + game.team2 + "-logoArizonaARIat " + game.team1 + "-logoIndianapolisINDIND53%ARI 16, IND 13
BUF at CAR
BUF 3,
CAR 9
" + game.team2 + "-logoBuffaloBUFat " + game.team1 + "-logoCarolinaCARCAR66%BUF 3, CAR 9
CHI at TB
CHI 7,
TB 29
" + game.team2 + "-logoChicagoCHIat " + game.team1 + "-logoTampa BayTBTB76%CHI 7, TB 29
CLE at BAL
CLE 10,
BAL 24
" + game.team2 + "-logoClevelandCLEat " + game.team1 + "-logoBaltimoreBALBAL82%CLE 10, BAL 24
MIN at PIT
MIN 9,
PIT 26
" + game.team2 + "-logoMinnesotaMINat " + game.team1 + "-logoPittsburghPITPIT71%MIN 9, PIT 26
NE at NO
NE 36,
NO 20
" + game.team2 + "-logoNew EnglandNEat " + game.team1 + "-logoNew OrleansNONE64%NE 36, NO 20
PHI at KC
PHI 20,
KC 27
" + game.team2 + "-logoPhiladelphiaPHIat " + game.team1 + "-logoKansas CityKCKC73%PHI 20, KC 27
TEN at JAX
TEN 37,
JAX 16
" + game.team2 + "-logoTennesseeTENat " + game.team1 + "-logoJacksonvilleJAXJAX59%TEN 37, JAX 16
HOU at CIN
HOU 13,
CIN 9
" + game.team2 + "-logoHoustonHOUat " + game.team1 + "-logoCincinnatiCINCIN63%HOU 13, CIN 9
Week 2 pointsWeek 2 pointsWeek 2 points

Week 1 results

MatchupFiveThirtyEight
forecast
538
forecast
Your
forecast
Game scoreFiveThirtyEight
points
538
points
Your
points
LAC at DEN
LAC 21,
DEN 24
" + game.team2 + "-logoL.A. ChargersLACat " + game.team1 + "-logoDenverDENDEN74%LAC 21, DEN 24
NO at MIN
NO 19,
MIN 29
" + game.team2 + "-logoNew OrleansNOat " + game.team1 + "-logoMinnesotaMINMIN59%NO 19, MIN 29
NYG at DAL
NYG 3,
DAL 19
" + game.team2 + "-logoN.Y. GiantsNYGat " + game.team1 + "-logoDallasDALDAL65%NYG 3, DAL 19
CAR at SF
CAR 23,
SF 3
" + game.team2 + "-logoCarolinaCARat " + game.team1 + "-logoSan FranciscoSFCAR65%CAR 23, SF 3
SEA at GB
SEA 9,
GB 17
" + game.team2 + "-logoSeattleSEAat " + game.team1 + "-logoGreen BayGBGB61%SEA 9, GB 17
IND at LAR
IND 9,
LAR 46
" + game.team2 + "-logoIndianapolisINDat " + game.team1 + "-logoL.A. RamsLARIND57%IND 9, LAR 46
ARI at DET
ARI 23,
DET 35
" + game.team2 + "-logoArizonaARIat " + game.team1 + "-logoDetroitDETDET54%ARI 23, DET 35
ATL at CHI
ATL 23,
CHI 17
" + game.team2 + "-logoAtlantaATLat " + game.team1 + "-logoChicagoCHIATL72%ATL 23, CHI 17
BAL at CIN
BAL 20,
CIN 0
" + game.team2 + "-logoBaltimoreBALat " + game.team1 + "-logoCincinnatiCINCIN63%BAL 20, CIN 0
JAX at HOU
JAX 29,
HOU 7
" + game.team2 + "-logoJacksonvilleJAXat " + game.team1 + "-logoHoustonHOUHOU74%JAX 29, HOU 7
NYJ at BUF
NYJ 12,
BUF 21
" + game.team2 + "-logoN.Y. JetsNYJat " + game.team1 + "-logoBuffaloBUFBUF64%NYJ 12, BUF 21
OAK at TEN
OAK 26,
TEN 16
" + game.team2 + "-logoOaklandOAKat " + game.team1 + "-logoTennesseeTENOAK51%OAK 26, TEN 16
PHI at WSH
PHI 30,
WSH 17
" + game.team2 + "-logoPhiladelphiaPHIat " + game.team1 + "-logoWashingtonWSHWSH58%PHI 30, WSH 17
PIT at CLE
PIT 21,
CLE 18
" + game.team2 + "-logoPittsburghPITat " + game.team1 + "-logoClevelandCLEPIT76%PIT 21, CLE 18
Week 1 pointsWeek 1 pointsWeek 1 points

/forecasts completed

FiveThirtyEight has points.

You have 0.0 points.

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