See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Sep. 24, 2021, at 2:50 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Polls policy and FAQs

Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added today

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 22-23, 2021
1,005 A
Sep 22-23, 2021
B-
Ipsos
1,005AApprove
44%

Approve

44%

Disapprove

51%
51%
DisapproveDisapprove+7
Biden approval
•

Sep 21-23, 2021
1,500 LV
Sep 21-23, 2021
B
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
1,500LVApprove
42%

Approve

42%

Disapprove

56%
56%
DisapproveDisapprove+14
President: general election
President: general election
•

Sep 17-23, 2021
1,005 RV
Sep 17-23, 2021
B/C
Echelon Insights
1,005RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump Sr.

39%
39%
Trump Sr.Biden+11
Generic ballot
Generic ballot
•

Sep 17-23, 2021
829 LV
Sep 17-23, 2021
B/C
Echelon Insights
829LVDemocrat
50%

Democrat

50%

Republican

40%
40%
RepublicanDemocrat+10
Generic ballot
•

Sep 17-23, 2021
1,005 RV
Sep 17-23, 2021
B/C
Echelon Insights
1,005RVDemocrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

40%
40%
RepublicanDemocrat+7
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 17-23, 2021
829 LV
Sep 17-23, 2021
B/C
Echelon Insights
829LVApprove
53%

Approve

53%

Disapprove

47%
47%
DisapproveApprove+6
Biden approval
•

Sep 17-23, 2021
1,005 RV
Sep 17-23, 2021
B/C
Echelon Insights
1,005RVApprove
50%

Approve

50%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveApprove+2
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary
•

Sep 17-23, 2021
429 RV
Sep 17-23, 2021
B/C
Echelon Insights
429RVDeSantis
22%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

15%

Trump Jr.

9%

Cruz

9%

Haley

6%

Romney

4%

Rubio

2%

Carlson

2%

Pompeo

2%

Hogan

1%

Cotton

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hawley

1%

Noem

1%

Cheney

1%

Christie

1%

Sasse

0%

Abbott

0%

R. Scott

0%

Taylor Greene

0%
MoreDeSantis+7
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 16-20, 2021
4,400 A
Sep 16-20, 2021
B
Morning Consult
4,400AApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveDisapprove+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

President: general election
President: general election
•

Sep 21-22, 2021
1,000 LV
Sep 21-22, 2021
B
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
1,000LVHarris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump Sr.

52%
52%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+13
President: general election
•

Sep 21-22, 2021
1,000 LV
Sep 21-22, 2021
B
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
1,000LVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump Sr.

51%
51%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+10
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 15-21, 2021
15,000 A
Sep 15-21, 2021
B
Morning Consult
15,000AApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

46%
46%
DisapproveApprove+1
Biden approval
•

Sep 19-20, 2021
1,500 A
Sep 19-20, 2021
B/C
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
1,500AApprove
45%

Approve

45%

Disapprove

34%
34%
DisapproveApprove+11
President: general election
President: general election
•

Sep 19-20, 2021
1,137 LV
Sep 19-20, 2021
B/C
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
1,137LVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump Sr.

40%
40%
Trump Sr.Biden+2
President: general election
•

Sep 19-20, 2021
1,500 A
Sep 19-20, 2021
B/C
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
1,500ABiden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump Sr.

34%
34%
Trump Sr.Biden+3
President: general election Mo.
•
Mo.
Sep 18-20, 2021
1,014 LV
Sep 18-20, 2021
B
Remington Research Group
1,014LVBiden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump Sr.

55%
55%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+19
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 13-19, 2021
10,371 A
Sep 13-19, 2021
B/C
Pew Research Center
10,371AApprove
44%

Approve

44%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+9
Biden approval
•

Sep 7-16, 2021
1,411 A
Sep 7-16, 2021
A/B
Marquette Law School
1,411AApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

52%
52%
DisapproveDisapprove+4

Sept. 21, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot
•

Sep 18-21, 2021
1,500 A
Sep 18-21, 2021
B+
YouGov
1,500ADemocrat
52%

Democrat

52%

Republican

48%
48%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Generic ballot
•

Sep 18-21, 2021
1,281 RV
Sep 18-21, 2021
B+
YouGov
1,281RVDemocrat
52%

Democrat

52%

Republican

48%
48%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Generic ballot
•

Sep 18-20, 2021
1,998 RV
Sep 18-20, 2021
B
Morning Consult
1,998RVDemocrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

40%
40%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 18-21, 2021
1,281 RV
Sep 18-21, 2021
B+
YouGov
1,281RVApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveDisapprove+2
Biden approval
•

Sep 18-21, 2021
1,500 A
Sep 18-21, 2021
B+
YouGov
1,500AApprove
43%

Approve

43%

Disapprove

46%
46%
DisapproveDisapprove+3
Biden approval
•

Sep 18-20, 2021
1,998 RV
Sep 18-20, 2021
B
Morning Consult
1,998RVApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

50%
50%
DisapproveDisapprove+3
Governor
Governor
•
N.J.N.J.
Sep 16-20, 2021
804 RV
Sep 16-20, 2021
A
Monmouth University
804RVMurphy
51%

Murphy

51%

Ciattarelli

38%
38%
CiattarelliMurphy+13
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 14-20, 2021
3,201 A
Sep 14-20, 2021
B+
YouGov
3,201AApprove
45%

Approve

45%

Disapprove

50%
50%
DisapproveDisapprove+5
Biden approval
•

Sep 1-17, 2021
1,005 A
Sep 1-17, 2021
B+
Gallup
1,005AApprove
43%

Approve

43%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+10
Biden approval
•

Sep 13-16, 2021
2,200 A
Sep 13-16, 2021
B
Morning Consult
2,200AApprove
51%

Approve

51%

Disapprove

44%
44%
DisapproveApprove+7
Governor
Governor
•
Va.Va.
Sep 7-13, 2021
528 LV
Sep 7-13, 2021
B/C
Research America Inc.
528LVMcAuliffe
43%

McAuliffe

43%

Youngkin

48%

Blanding

2%
MoreYoungkin+5
Governor
•
Va.Va.
Sep 7-13, 2021
885 RV
Sep 7-13, 2021
B/C
Research America Inc.
885RVMcAuliffe
46%

McAuliffe

46%

Youngkin

41%

Blanding

2%
MoreMcAuliffe+5
Governor
•
Va.Va.
Sep 7-13, 2021
1,000 A
Sep 7-13, 2021
B/C
Research America Inc.
1,000AMcAuliffe
43%

McAuliffe

43%

Youngkin

38%

Blanding

2%
MoreMcAuliffe+5
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 7-8, 2021
1,000 A
Sep 7-8, 2021
B/C
Echelon Insights
1,000AApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

46%
46%
DisapproveApprove+2
Biden approval
•

Sep 4-8, 2021
1,000 RV
Sep 4-8, 2021
A/B
The Winston Group
1,000RVApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

44%
44%
DisapproveApprove+2
Generic ballot
Generic ballot
•

Sep 4-8, 2021
1,000 RV
Sep 4-8, 2021
A/B
The Winston Group*
1,000RVDemocrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

43%
43%
RepublicanDemocrat+3
Generic ballot
•

Aug 30-Sep 2, 2021
1,571 LV
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2021
B-
Change Research
1,571LVDemocrat
49%

Democrat

49%

Republican

45%
45%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Generic ballot
•

Aug 30-Sep 2, 2021
1,775 RV
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2021
B-
Change Research
1,775RVDemocrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

45%
45%
RepublicanDemocrat+1
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Aug 30-Sep 2, 2021
1,775 RV
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2021
B-
Change Research
1,775RVApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

54%
54%
DisapproveDisapprove+8

Sept. 20, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
•
IowaIowa
Sep 12-15, 2021
620 LV
Sep 12-15, 2021
A+
Selzer & Co.
620LVFinkenauer
37%

Finkenauer

37%

Grassley

55%
55%
GrassleyGrassley+18
U.S. Senate
•
Colo.Colo.
Sep 9-12, 2021
742 LV
Sep 9-12, 2021
B/C
co/efficient*
742LVBennet
40%

Bennet

40%

Bremer

32%
32%
BremerBennet+8
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 17-20, 2021
991 RV
Sep 17-20, 2021
C+
American Research Group
991RVApprove
51%

Approve

51%

Disapprove

46%
46%
DisapproveApprove+5
Biden approval
•

Sep 17-20, 2021
1,100 A
Sep 17-20, 2021
C+
American Research Group
1,100AApprove
50%

Approve

50%

Disapprove

46%
46%
DisapproveApprove+4
Biden approval
•

Sep 16-20, 2021
1,500 LV
Sep 16-20, 2021
B
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
1,500LVApprove
44%

Approve

44%

Disapprove

56%
56%
DisapproveDisapprove+12
Governor
Governor
•
Va.Va.
Sep 17-19, 2021
700 LV
Sep 17-19, 2021
B/C
KAConsulting LLC*
700LVMcAuliffe
46%

McAuliffe

46%

Youngkin

42%
42%
YoungkinMcAuliffe+4
Governor
•
Va.Va.
Sep 17-18, 2021
875 V
Sep 17-18, 2021
A-
Public Policy Polling*
875VMcAuliffe
45%

McAuliffe

45%

Youngkin

42%
42%
YoungkinMcAuliffe+3
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 14-18, 2021
2,200 A
Sep 14-18, 2021
B
Morning Consult
2,200AApprove
49%

Approve

49%

Disapprove

46%
46%
DisapproveApprove+3
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary
•

Sep 15-16, 2021
490 RV
Sep 15-16, 2021
B+
Harris Poll
490RVPence
32%

Pence

32%

DeSantis

20%

Cruz

14%

Haley

6%

Pompeo

6%

Rubio

4%

T. Scott

2%
MorePence+12
President: Republican primary
•

Sep 15-16, 2021
490 RV
Sep 15-16, 2021
B+
Harris Poll
490RVTrump Sr.
58%

Trump Sr.

58%

Pence

13%

DeSantis

9%

Cruz

4%

Haley

3%

Rubio

3%

Pompeo

2%

T. Scott

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+45
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
•
Wis.Wis.
Sep 8-11, 2021
756 LV
Sep 8-11, 2021
B/C
Clarity Campaign Labs*
756LVBarnes
43%

Barnes

43%

Johnson

43%
43%
JohnsonEven
Governor
Governor
•
Mich.Mich.
Sep 13-15, 2021
1,097 LV
Sep 13-15, 2021
A-
Trafalgar Group*
1,097LVWhitmer
44%

Whitmer

44%

Craig

50%
50%
CraigCraig+6
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 8-9, 2021
1,803 RV
Sep 8-9, 2021
B+
HarrisX
1,803RVApprove
55%

Approve

55%

Disapprove

45%
45%
DisapproveApprove+10

Sept. 19, 2021

Governor
Governor
•
Mich.Mich.
Sep 18-19, 2021
600 LV
Sep 18-19, 2021
B/C
Strategic National*
600LVWhitmer
47%

Whitmer

47%

Craig

46%
46%
CraigWhitmer+1
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 16-18, 2021
1,200 RV
Sep 16-18, 2021
B-
RMG Research
1,200RVApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveEven
Biden approval
•

Sep 15-16, 2021
1,578 RV
Sep 15-16, 2021
B+
Harris Poll
1,578RVApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

50%
50%
DisapproveDisapprove+2
Governor
Governor
•
N.J.N.J.
Sep 13-16, 2021
600 LV
Sep 13-16, 2021
A/B
National Research Inc.*
600LVMurphy
45%

Murphy

45%

Ciattarelli

42%
42%
CiattarelliMurphy+3
Governor
•
Va.Va.
Sep 7-15, 2021
731 LV
Sep 7-15, 2021
B/C
Virginia Commonwealth University
731LVMcAuliffe
43%

McAuliffe

43%

Youngkin

34%
34%
YoungkinMcAuliffe+9
Biden approval
Biden approval
•

Sep 10-12, 2021
2,200 A
Sep 10-12, 2021
B
Morning Consult
2,200AApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

47%
47%
DisapproveApprove+1
Biden approval
•

Sep 10-12, 2021
2,200 A
Sep 10-12, 2021
B
Morning Consult
2,200AApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

46%
46%
DisapproveApprove+2
Governor
Governor
•
N.J.N.J.
Jun 17-22, 2021
600 LV
Jun 17-22, 2021
A/B
National Research Inc.*
600LVMurphy
49%

Murphy

49%

Ciattarelli

37%
37%
CiattarelliMurphy+12
Governor
•
N.J.N.J.
Apr 11-13, 2021
600 LV
Apr 11-13, 2021
A/B
National Research Inc.*
600LVMurphy
47%

Murphy

47%

Ciattarelli

30%
30%
CiattarelliMurphy+17
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