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Who’s ahead in the Alabama race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, Alabama, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,808LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,808LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

62%
62%
Trump  Trump+26
1,808RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,808RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+19

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election, Alabama, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

330LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
330LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

55%

Jorgensen

7%
55%
TrumpTrump+17
1,045LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
1,045LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

58%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

1%
58%
TrumpTrump+20

U.S. Senate, Alabama, 2020

294LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
294LV
Jones
42%
Jones
42%

Jones

42%

Tuberville

58%
58%
Tuberville  Tuberville+15
1,045LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
1,045LV
Jones
44%
Jones
44%

Jones

44%

Tuberville

56%
56%
Tuberville  Tuberville+12

Oct. 30, 2020

U.S. Senate, Alabama, 2020

850LV
Oct.22-31
850LV
Jones
39%
Jones
39%

Jones

39%

Tuberville

51%
51%
Tuberville  Tuberville+12

Oct. 27, 2020

U.S. Senate, Alabama, 2020

853LV
Oct.23-28
853LV
Jones
43%
Jones
43%

Jones

43%

Tuberville

54%
54%
Tuberville  Tuberville+11

Oct. 25, 2020

President: general election, Alabama, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

266LV
Oct.23-26
266LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

56%

Jorgensen

7%
56%
TrumpTrump+19

U.S. Senate, Alabama, 2020

232LV
Oct.23-26
232LV
Jones
46%
Jones
46%

Jones

46%

Tuberville

54%
54%
Tuberville  Tuberville+9
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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