See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 26, 2020, at 10:59 AM

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Who’s ahead in Alaska?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Sep 27-Oct 24, 2020
1,083 LV
Sep 27-Oct 24, 2020
1,083LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

53%
53%
TrumpTrump+8
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Sep 27-Oct 24, 2020
1,083 RV
Sep 27-Oct 24, 2020
1,083RVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076LVGross
44%

Gross

44%

Sullivan

47%

Howe

3%
MoreSullivan+3

Oct. 21, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Oct 19-20, 2020
800 V
Oct 19-20, 2020
800VBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+5
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 19-20, 2020
800 V
Oct 19-20, 2020
800VGross
41%

Gross

41%

Sullivan

44%

Howe

5%
MoreSullivan+3

Oct. 18, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Sep 30-Oct 4, 2020
600 LV
Sep 30-Oct 4, 2020
600LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+3
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Sep 30-Oct 4, 2020
600 LV
Sep 30-Oct 4, 2020
600LVGross
47%

Gross

47%

Sullivan

46%
46%
SullivanGross+1

Oct. 16, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Oct 9-14, 2020
423 LV
Oct 9-14, 2020
423LVBiden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

8%
MoreTrump+6
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 9-14, 2020
423 LV
Oct 9-14, 2020
423LVGross
37%

Gross

37%

Sullivan

45%

Howe

10%
MoreSullivan+8
U.S. House
U.S. House
AK-1AK-1
Oct 9-14, 2020
423 LV
Oct 9-14, 2020
423LVGalvin
41%

Galvin

41%

Young

49%
49%
YoungYoung+8
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