UPDATED Jun. 8, 2021, at 8:24 PM

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Who’s ahead in Alaska?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
May 22-25, 2021
1,023 LV
May 22-25, 2021
1,023LVGross
46%

Gross

46%

Tshibaka

54%
54%
TshibakaTshibaka+8
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
May 22-25, 2021
1,023 LV
May 22-25, 2021
1,023LVGross
25%

Gross

25%

Tshibaka

39%

Murkowski

19%

Howe

4%
MoreTshibaka+14

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 18, 2021

Governor
Governor
AlaskaAlaska
Sep 21-25, 2018
500 LV
Sep 21-25, 2018
500LVBegich
29%

Begich

29%

Dunleavy

44%

Walker

23%
MoreDunleavy+15

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
634 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
634LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+9
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
634 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
634RVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+9

Oct. 28, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Alaska
Alaska
Oct 26-28, 2020
770 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
770LVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+9
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 26-28, 2020
770 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
770LVGross
45%

Gross

45%

Sullivan

48%
48%
SullivanSullivan+3
U.S. House
U.S. House
AK-1AK-1
Oct 26-28, 2020
770 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
770LVGalvin
44%

Galvin

44%

Young

49%
49%
YoungYoung+5

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076LVGross
44%

Gross

44%

Sullivan

47%

Howe

3%
MoreSullivan+3
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