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Who’s ahead in the Arizona race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 7, 2023

President: general election, Arizona, 2024

618V
Jan.5-8
618V
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Trump+3
618V
Jan.5-8
618V
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantis  DeSantis+6

President: Republican primary, Arizona, 2024

303V
Jan.5-8
303V
Trump
43%
Trump
43%

Trump

43%

DeSantis

34%
34%
DeSantis  Trump+9

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024

618V
Jan.5-8
618V
Gallego
32%
Gallego
32%

Gallego

32%

Lake

36%

Sinema

14%
36%
LakeLake+4

Dec. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024

678V
Dec.19-20
678V
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+1
678V
Dec.19-20
678V
Gallego
40%
Gallego
40%

Gallego

40%

Lake

41%

Sinema

13%
41%
LakeLake+1

Nov. 8, 2022

Nov. 6, 2022

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,094LV
Nov.5-7
1,094LV
Kelly
47%
Kelly
47%

Kelly

47%

Masters

48%

Victor

1%
48%
MastersMasters+2

Nov. 5, 2022

President: general election, Arizona, 2024

560LV
Nov.2-6
560LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+8
809RV
Nov.2-6
809RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+13

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Kelly
51%
Kelly
51%

Kelly

51%

Masters

47%

Victor

2%
47%
MastersKelly+4
550LV
Nov.4-6
550LV
Kelly
48%
Kelly
48%

Kelly

48%

Masters

47%

Victor

2%
47%
MastersKelly+2
560LV
Nov.2-6
560LV
Kelly
50%
Kelly
50%

Kelly

50%

Masters

47%

Victor

2%
47%
MastersKelly+3
809RV
Nov.2-6
809RV
Kelly
46%
Kelly
46%

Kelly

46%

Masters

43%

Victor

5%
43%
MastersKelly+3
1,359LV
Nov.2-6
1,359LV
Kelly
49%
Kelly
49%

Kelly

49%

Masters

50%

Victor

2%
50%
MastersMasters+1

Governor, Arizona, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Hobbs
49%
Hobbs
49%

Hobbs

49%

Lake

51%
51%
Lake  Lake+2
550LV
Nov.4-6
550LV
Hobbs
47%
Hobbs
47%

Hobbs

47%

Lake

50%
50%
Lake  Lake+3
560LV
Nov.2-6
560LV
Hobbs
48%
Hobbs
48%

Hobbs

48%

Lake

50%
50%
Lake  Lake+2
809RV
Nov.2-6
809RV
Hobbs
45%
Hobbs
45%

Hobbs

45%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Even
1,359LV
Nov.2-6
1,359LV
Hobbs
48%
Hobbs
48%

Hobbs

48%

Lake

52%
52%
Lake  Lake+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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