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Who’s ahead in the Arizona ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 15, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 10-16
1,192LV
May 10-16
1,192LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Stein

5%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
May 10-16
1,193LV
May 10-16
1,193LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+5

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election

May 10-16
1,183LV
May 10-16
1,183LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

36%
36%
Lake  Gallego+13

May 8, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 28-May 9
626LV
April 28-May 9
626LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+6
April 28-May 9
626LV
April 28-May 9
626LV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

Mapstead

1%

West

0%
44%
TrumpTrump+9
April 28-May 9
626RV
April 28-May 9
626RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+7
April 28-May 9
626RV
April 28-May 9
626RV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

2%

Mapstead

1%

West

0%
42%
TrumpTrump+9

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election

April 28-May 9
626LV
April 28-May 9
626LV
Gallego
46%
Gallego
46%

Gallego

46%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+3
April 28-May 9
626RV
April 28-May 9
626RV
Gallego
45%
Gallego
45%

Gallego

45%

Lake

41%
41%
Lake  Gallego+4

May 3, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 2-4
529LV
May 2-4
529LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%
44%
TrumpTrump+2

April 28, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 27-29
550LV
April 27-29
550LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

14%
38%
TrumpBiden+1
April 25-29
1,000RV
April 25-29
1,000RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+3
April 25-29
1,000RV
April 25-29
1,000RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+5

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election

April 27-29
550LV
April 27-29
550LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

44%
44%
Lake  Gallego+4
April 25-29
1,000RV
April 25-29
1,000RV
Gallego
45%
Gallego
45%

Gallego

45%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+2

April 25, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-8, 2024, Republican primary

April 24-26
500LV
April 24-26
500LV
Masters
26%
Masters
26%

Masters

26%

Hamadeh

16%

Franks

9%

Toma

9%

Kern

3%
16%
HamadehMasters+10
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