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Who’s ahead in the Arizona ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 10, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024

March 7-11
1,121RV
March 7-11
1,121RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

2%

West

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+4
March 7-11
1,121RV
March 7-11
1,121RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+4

Feb. 25, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024

Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+7

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election

Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Gallego
33%
Gallego
33%

Gallego

33%

Lake

37%

Sinema

21%
37%
LakeLake+4
Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Gallego
42%
Gallego
42%

Gallego

42%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Lake+3

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, Republican primary

Feb. 21-26
469LV
Feb. 21-26
469LV
Lake
55%
Lake
55%

Lake

55%

Lamb

26%
26%
Lamb  Lake+29

Feb. 19, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, Democratic primary

Feb. 16-20
317LV
Feb. 16-20
317LV
Galán-Woods
13%
Galán-Woods
13%

Galán-Woods

13%

Shah

10%

O'Callaghan

9%

Cherny

5%
10%
ShahGalán-Woods+3

Feb. 18, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024

Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Newsom
34%
Newsom
34%

Newsom

34%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+13
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+7
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

1%

West

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election

Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Gallego
46%
Gallego
46%

Gallego

46%

Lake

39%
39%
Lake  Gallego+7
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Gallego
36%
Gallego
36%

Gallego

36%

Lake

30%

Sinema

21%
30%
LakeGallego+6

Feb. 17, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024

Feb. 12-18
798RV
Feb. 12-18
798RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+6
Feb. 12-18
798RV
Feb. 12-18
798RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpTrump+9
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