See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 20, 2020, at 10:49 AM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Polls policy and FAQs

Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Calif.
Calif.
Sep 20-Oct 18, 2020
22,780 LV
Sep 20-Oct 18, 2020
22,780LVBiden
63%

Biden

63%

Trump

36%
36%
TrumpBiden+27
President: general election Calif.
Calif.
Sep 20-Oct 18, 2020
22,780 RV
Sep 20-Oct 18, 2020
22,780RVBiden
63%

Biden

63%

Trump

35%
35%
TrumpBiden+28
U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-4CA-4
Oct 12-14, 2020
958 LV
Oct 12-14, 2020
958LVKennedy
45%

Kennedy

45%

McClintock

49%
49%
McClintockMcClintock+4
U.S. House
CA-39CA-39
Oct 11-14, 2020
400 LV
Oct 11-14, 2020
400LVCisneros
46%

Cisneros

46%

Kim

47%
47%
KimKim+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 13, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-49CA-49
Oct 8-12, 2020
514 LV
Oct 8-12, 2020
514LVLevin
56%

Levin

56%

Maryott

36%
36%
MaryottLevin+20

Oct. 9, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-1CA-1
Oct 1-4, 2020
400 LV
Oct 1-4, 2020
400LVDenney
45%

Denney

45%

LaMalfa

49%
49%
LaMalfaLaMalfa+4

Oct. 8, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-25CA-25
Oct 3-6, 2020
644 LV
Oct 3-6, 2020
644LVSmith
49%

Smith

49%

Garcia

47%
47%
GarciaSmith+2

Oct. 7, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-22CA-22
Jun 23-29, 2020
400 LV
Jun 23-29, 2020
400LVArballo
42%

Arballo

42%

Nunes

51%
51%
NunesNunes+9
Show more polls

No matching polls

Comments