See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 1, 2021, at 8:21 AM

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Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 12, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor recall
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Sep 11-13, 2021
1,082 LV
Sep 11-13, 2021
1,082LVKeep
53%

Keep

53%

Remove

45%
45%
RemoveKeep+9
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Aug 30-Sep 13, 2021
3,985 LV
Aug 30-Sep 13, 2021
3,985LVKeep
55%

Keep

55%

Remove

41%
41%
RemoveKeep+14
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Sep 10-11, 2021
1,000 LV
Sep 10-11, 2021
1,000LVKeep
60%

Keep

60%

Remove

40%
40%
RemoveKeep+20

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 9, 2021

Governor recall
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Sep 2-10, 2021
2,464 LV
Sep 2-10, 2021
2,464LVKeep
57%

Keep

57%

Remove

43%
43%
RemoveKeep+14
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Aug 30-Sep 6, 2021
6,550 LV
Aug 30-Sep 6, 2021
6,550LVKeep
60%

Keep

60%

Remove

39%
39%
RemoveKeep+22

Sept. 8, 2021

Governor recall
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Sep 7-8, 2021
930 LV
Sep 7-8, 2021
930LVKeep
54%

Keep

54%

Remove

41%
41%
RemoveKeep+13

Sept. 7, 2021

Governor recall
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Sep 6-7, 2021
500 LV
Sep 6-7, 2021
500LVKeep
58%

Keep

58%

Remove

41%
41%
RemoveKeep+17
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Aug 27-Sep 1, 2021
1,955 LV
Aug 27-Sep 1, 2021
1,955LVKeep
56%

Keep

56%

Remove

44%
44%
RemoveKeep+12

Sept. 6, 2021

Governor recall
Governor recall Calif.
Calif.
Aug 25-27, 2021
729 LV
Aug 25-27, 2021
729LVKeep
49%

Keep

49%

Remove

44%
44%
RemoveKeep+5
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