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Who’s ahead in the California governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, California, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Newsom
60%
Newsom
60%

Newsom

60%

Dahle

40%
40%
Dahle  Newsom+20
Oct. 25-31
5,972LV
Oct. 25-31
5,972LV
Newsom
58%
Newsom
58%

Newsom

58%

Dahle

37%
37%
Dahle  Newsom+21
July 29-Oct. 27
200LV
July 29-Oct. 27
200LV
Newsom
61%
Newsom
61%

Newsom

61%

Dahle

39%
39%
Dahle  Newsom+22
Oct. 11-26
860LV
Oct. 11-26
860LV
Newsom
56%
Newsom
56%

Newsom

56%

Dahle

37%
37%
Dahle  Newsom+19
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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