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Who’s ahead in the Maryland governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Maryland, 2022

989LV
Oct.20-23
989LV
Moore
58%
Moore
58%

Moore

58%

Cox

27%

Lashar

3%

Wallace

2%

Harding

1%
27%
CoxMoore+31
810RV
Sep.22-27
810RV
Moore
60%
Moore
60%

Moore

60%

Cox

28%
28%
Cox  Moore+32
748LV
Sep.8-12
748LV
Moore
53%
Moore
53%

Moore

53%

Cox

31%

Lashar

4%

Wallace

2%
31%
CoxMoore+22
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Candidate is an incumbent

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