UPDATED Aug. 11, 2022, at 8:18 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Michigan governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Michigan, 2022

600LV
Jul.5-8
600LV
Whitmer
52%
Whitmer
52%

Whitmer

52%

Rebandt

37%
37%
Rebandt  Whitmer+15
600LV
Jul.5-8
600LV
Whitmer
52%
Whitmer
52%

Whitmer

52%

Soldano

38%
38%
Soldano  Whitmer+14
600LV
Jul.5-8
600LV
Whitmer
52%
Whitmer
52%

Whitmer

52%

Rinke

40%
40%
Rinke  Whitmer+12
600LV
Jul.5-8
600LV
Whitmer
51%
Whitmer
51%

Whitmer

51%

Dixon

40%
40%
Dixon  Whitmer+10
600LV
Jul.5-8
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Kelley

41%
41%
Kelley  Whitmer+8
600RV
May 26-27
600RV
Whitmer
58%
Whitmer
58%

Whitmer

58%

Soldano

22%
22%
Soldano  Whitmer+36
600RV
May 26-27
600RV
Whitmer
58%
Whitmer
58%

Whitmer

58%

Rinke

24%
24%
Rinke  Whitmer+34
600RV
May 26-27
600RV
Whitmer
58%
Whitmer
58%

Whitmer

58%

Rebandt

19%
19%
Rebandt  Whitmer+39
600RV
May 26-27
600RV
Whitmer
57%
Whitmer
57%

Whitmer

57%

Kelley

23%
23%
Kelley  Whitmer+34
600RV
May 26-27
600RV
Whitmer
58%
Whitmer
58%

Whitmer

58%

Dixon

21%
21%
Dixon  Whitmer+37
632LV
Feb.1-4
632LV
Whitmer
44%
Whitmer
44%

Whitmer

44%

Craig

44%
44%
Craig  Whitmer+1
600LV
Jan.15-20
600LV
Whitmer
46%
Whitmer
46%

Whitmer

46%

Craig

41%
41%
Craig  Whitmer+5
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Dixon

31%
31%
Dixon  Whitmer+19
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Rinke

33%
33%
Rinke  Whitmer+17
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Soldano

33%
33%
Soldano  Whitmer+16
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
49%
Whitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

Craig

39%
39%
Craig  Whitmer+10
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