UPDATED Aug. 11, 2022, at 8:18 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, New Mexico, 2022

642V
Jun.13-14
642V
Lujan Grisham
45%
Lujan Grisham
45%

Lujan Grisham

45%

Ronchetti

42%

Bedonie

9%
42%
RonchettiLujan Grisham+3
600LV
Jun.11-14
600LV
Lujan Grisham
45%
Lujan Grisham
45%

Lujan Grisham

45%

Ronchetti

46%
46%
Ronchetti  Ronchetti+1
1,389LV
Apr.29-May 7
1,389LV
Lujan Grisham
48%
Lujan Grisham
48%

Lujan Grisham

48%

Zanetti

36%
36%
Zanetti  Lujan Grisham+12
1,389LV
Apr.29-May 7
1,389LV
Lujan Grisham
47%
Lujan Grisham
47%

Lujan Grisham

47%

Ronchetti

43%
43%
Ronchetti  Lujan Grisham+4
1,389LV
Apr.29-May 7
1,389LV
Lujan Grisham
48%
Lujan Grisham
48%

Lujan Grisham

48%

Maharg

32%
32%
Maharg  Lujan Grisham+16
1,389LV
Apr.29-May 7
1,389LV
Lujan Grisham
48%
Lujan Grisham
48%

Lujan Grisham

48%

Dow

36%
36%
Dow  Lujan Grisham+12
1,389LV
Apr.29-May 7
1,389LV
Lujan Grisham
47%
Lujan Grisham
47%

Lujan Grisham

47%

Block

37%
37%
Block  Lujan Grisham+10
531LV
Jan.2-3
531LV
Lujan Grisham
40%
Lujan Grisham
40%

Lujan Grisham

40%

Zanetti

39%
39%
Zanetti  Lujan Grisham+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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