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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, New Mexico, 2022

1,000LV
Oct.25-28
1,000LV
Lujan Grisham
50%
Lujan Grisham
50%

Lujan Grisham

50%

Ronchetti

48%

Bedonie

2%
48%
RonchettiLujan Grisham+2
1,254LV
Oct.20-27
1,254LV
Lujan Grisham
50%
Lujan Grisham
50%

Lujan Grisham

50%

Ronchetti

42%

Bedonie

3%
42%
RonchettiLujan Grisham+8
650LV
Oct.21-26
650LV
Lujan Grisham
46%
Lujan Grisham
46%

Lujan Grisham

46%

Ronchetti

39%

Bedonie

5%
39%
RonchettiLujan Grisham+7
1,077LV
Oct.19-21
1,077LV
Lujan Grisham
46%
Lujan Grisham
46%

Lujan Grisham

46%

Ronchetti

47%

Bedonie

4%
47%
RonchettiRonchetti+1
806V
Oct.6-7
806V
Lujan Grisham
48%
Lujan Grisham
48%

Lujan Grisham

48%

Ronchetti

40%

Bedonie

7%
40%
RonchettiLujan Grisham+8
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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