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Who’s ahead in the New York governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, New York, 2022

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Hochul
55%
Hochul
55%

Hochul

55%

Zeldin

45%
45%
Zeldin  Hochul+10
260LV
Aug.8-Nov.6
260LV
Hochul
55%
Hochul
55%

Hochul

55%

Zeldin

45%
45%
Zeldin  Hochul+10
826LV
Oct.31-Nov.3
826LV
Hochul
49%
Hochul
49%

Hochul

49%

Zeldin

44%
44%
Zeldin  Hochul+5
1,000LV
Oct.28-31
1,000LV
Hochul
54%
Hochul
54%

Hochul

54%

Zeldin

45%
45%
Zeldin  Hochul+9
1,198LV
Oct.27-31
1,198LV
Hochul
48%
Hochul
48%

Hochul

48%

Zeldin

48%
48%
Zeldin  Zeldin+1
501LV
Oct.27-29
501LV
Hochul
46%
Hochul
46%

Hochul

46%

Zeldin

45%
45%
Zeldin  Hochul+1
818LV
Oct.26-28
818LV
Hochul
54%
Hochul
54%

Hochul

54%

Zeldin

42%
42%
Zeldin  Hochul+12
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