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Who’s ahead in the Oregon governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Oregon, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-6
1,393LV
Nov. 1-6
1,393LV
Kotek
48%
Kotek
48%

Kotek

48%

Drazan

44%

Johnson

7%

Noble

1%

Smith

0%
44%
DrazanKotek+4
Oct. 31-Nov. 2
577LV
Oct. 31-Nov. 2
577LV
Kotek
43%
Kotek
43%

Kotek

43%

Drazan

45%

Johnson

6%

Noble

1%

Smith

0%
45%
DrazanDrazan+3
Oct. 31-Nov. 1
975LV
Oct. 31-Nov. 1
975LV
Kotek
46%
Kotek
46%

Kotek

46%

Drazan

41%

Johnson

9%

Smith

1%

Noble

0%
41%
DrazanKotek+6
Oct. 26-Nov. 1
585LV
Oct. 26-Nov. 1
585LV
Kotek
45%
Kotek
45%

Kotek

45%

Drazan

41%

Johnson

10%

Smith

0%

Noble

0%
41%
DrazanKotek+4
Oct. 24-26
741LV
Oct. 24-26
741LV
Kotek
40%
Kotek
40%

Kotek

40%

Drazan

38%

Johnson

13%
38%
DrazanKotek+2
Oct. 18-22
1,161LV
Oct. 18-22
1,161LV
Kotek
40%
Kotek
40%

Kotek

40%

Drazan

42%

Johnson

13%
42%
DrazanDrazan+1
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