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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico 1st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, NM-1, 2020, General election

Oct. 23-29
430LV
Oct. 23-29
430LV
Research & Polling
 Haaland
58%
 Haaland
58%

Haaland

58%

Garcia Holmes

37%
37%
Garcia Holmes  Haaland+21
Aug. 26-Sept. 2
418LV
Aug. 26-Sept. 2
418LV
Research & Polling
 Haaland
58%
 Haaland
58%

Haaland

58%

Garcia Holmes

31%
31%
Garcia Holmes  Haaland+27
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