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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

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Polls ending Oct. 15, 2021

U.S. House, OH-15, 2021, Special general

Oct. 14-16
445LV
Oct. 14-16
445LV
Russo
39%
Russo
39%

Russo

39%

Carey

50%
50%
Carey  Carey+11

July 20, 2021

U.S. House, TX-6, 2021, special runoff

July 19-21
400LV
July 19-21
400LV
Wright
44%
Wright
44%

Wright

44%

Ellzey

34%
34%
Ellzey  Wright+10

June 2, 2021

U.S. House, TX-6, 2021, special runoff

June 1-3
400LV
June 1-3
400LV
Wright
49%
Wright
49%

Wright

49%

Ellzey

34%
34%
Ellzey  Wright+15

May 20, 2021

U.S. House, NM-1, 2021, Special general

May 18-21
555LV
May 18-21
555LV
Stansbury
49%
Stansbury
49%

Stansbury

49%

Moores

33%

Dunn

5%

Manning

3%
33%
MooresStansbury+16

April 12, 2021

U.S. House, TX-6, 2021, special jungle primary

April 11-13
400RV
April 11-13
400RV
Sanchez
20%
Sanchez
20%

Sanchez

20%

Wright

17%

Ellzey

16%

Harrison

12%

Bean

7%

Lassiter

5%

Moses

3%

Rodimer

2%
17%
WrightSanchez+3
April 11-13
400RV
April 11-13
400RV
Sanchez
16%
Sanchez
16%

Sanchez

16%

Wright

15%

Ellzey

14%

Harrison

12%

Bean

5%

Lassiter

3%

Castro

3%

Rodimer

2%

Mizher

1%

Allison

1%

Wood

1%

Stephenson

1%

Egan

1%

Suprun

1%

Moses

0%

Kim

0%

Gray

0%

Salazar

0%

Garcia Sharon

0%

Ballantine

0%

Eddings

0%

Hinterlong

0%

Rodermund

0%
15%
WrightSanchez+1
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