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Who’s ahead in the California 41st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, CA-41, 2022, General election

Sept. 28-Oct. 3
600LV
Sept. 28-Oct. 3
600LV
Tulchin Research
 Rollins
44%
 Rollins
44%

Rollins

44%

Calvert

47%
47%
Calvert  Calvert+3
July 22-27
1,620RV
July 22-27
1,620RV
Applecart
 Rollins
39%
 Rollins
39%

Rollins

39%

Calvert

47%
47%
Calvert  Calvert+8
Feb. 25-March 3
600LV
Feb. 25-March 3
600LV
Tulchin Research
 Rollins
42%
 Rollins
42%

Rollins

42%

Calvert

41%
41%
Calvert  Rollins+1
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