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Who’s ahead in the Iowa 3rd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 24-25
400LV
Oct. 24-25
400LV
Axne
44%
Axne
44%

Axne

44%

Nunn

46%
46%
Nunn  Nunn+2
Sept. 21-25
400LV
Sept. 21-25
400LV
Axne
44%
Axne
44%

Axne

44%

Nunn

46%
46%
Nunn  Nunn+2
Sept. 7-11
500LV
Sept. 7-11
500LV
Axne
47%
Axne
47%

Axne

47%

Nunn

47%
47%
Nunn  Even
July 29-Aug. 5
400LV
July 29-Aug. 5
400LV
Axne
41%
Axne
41%

Axne

41%

Nunn

49%
49%
Nunn  Nunn+8
July 9-11
400LV
July 9-11
400LV
Axne
43%
Axne
43%

Axne

43%

Nunn

43%
43%
Nunn  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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