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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico 2nd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 25-28
302LV
Oct. 25-28
302LV
Emerson College
 Vasquez
44%
 Vasquez
44%

Vasquez

44%

Herrell

54%
54%
Herrell  Herrell+11
Oct. 20-27
410LV
Oct. 20-27
410LV
Research & Polling
 Vasquez
47%
 Vasquez
47%

Vasquez

47%

Herrell

45%
45%
Herrell  Vasquez+2
Oct. 20-24
398LV
Oct. 20-24
398LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Vasquez
48%
 Vasquez
48%

Vasquez

48%

Herrell

47%
47%
Herrell  Vasquez+1
Sept. 20-26
500LV
Sept. 20-26
500LV
Global Strategy Group
 Vasquez
45%
 Vasquez
45%

Vasquez

45%

Herrell

43%
43%
Herrell  Vasquez+2
July 19-25
500LV
July 19-25
500LV
Global Strategy Group
 Vasquez
45%
 Vasquez
45%

Vasquez

45%

Herrell

44%
44%
Herrell  Vasquez+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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