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Who’s ahead in the New York 19th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022, General election

Oct. 27-Nov. 1
455LV
Oct. 27-Nov. 1
455LV
Riley
48%
Riley
48%

Riley

48%

Molinaro

43%
43%
Molinaro  Riley+5

Sept. 27, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022, General election

Sept. 25-28
470LV
Sept. 25-28
470LV
Riley
46%
Riley
46%

Riley

46%

Molinaro

41%
41%
Molinaro  Riley+5

Sept. 21, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022, General election

Sept. 20-22
652LV
Sept. 20-22
652LV
Riley
42%
Riley
42%

Riley

42%

Molinaro

51%
51%
Molinaro  Molinaro+10

Sept. 1, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022, General election

Aug. 27-Sept. 2
400LV
Aug. 27-Sept. 2
400LV
Riley
44%
Riley
44%

Riley

44%

Molinaro

41%
41%
Molinaro  Riley+3

Aug. 31, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022, General election

Aug. 29-Sept. 1
403LV
Aug. 29-Sept. 1
403LV
Riley
47%
Riley
47%

Riley

47%

Molinaro

44%
44%
Molinaro  Riley+3
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