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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania 17th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, PA-17, 2022

400LV
Sep.18-20
400LV
Deluzio
49%
Deluzio
49%

Deluzio

49%

Shaffer

43%
43%
Shaffer  Deluzio+6
400LV
Jul.18-21
400LV
Deluzio
43%
Deluzio
43%

Deluzio

43%

Shaffer

42%
42%
Shaffer  Deluzio+1
500LV
Jun.4-6
500LV
Deluzio
44%
Deluzio
44%

Deluzio

44%

Shaffer

44%
44%
Shaffer  Even
494LV
May 9-10
494LV
Deluzio
44%
Deluzio
44%

Deluzio

44%

Shaffer

41%
41%
Shaffer  Deluzio+3
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Candidate is an incumbent

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