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Who’s ahead in the Iowa race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Dec. 3, 2023

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 1-4
1,091LV
Dec. 1-4
1,091LV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

22%

Haley

19%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

4%

Burgum

2%

Hutchinson

1%
22%
DeSantisTrump+24

Dec. 1, 2023

U.S. House, IA-1, 2024

Nov. 28-Dec. 2
448LV
Nov. 28-Dec. 2
448LV
Bohannan
35%
Bohannan
35%

Bohannan

35%

Miller-Meeks

38%
38%
Miller-Meeks  Miller-Meeks+3

Nov. 20, 2023

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 19-21
800LV
Nov. 19-21
800LV
Trump
44%
Trump
44%

Trump

44%

Haley

17%

DeSantis

16%
17%
HaleyTrump+27

Nov. 14, 2023

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 10-15
432LV
Nov. 10-15
432LV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

18%

Haley

12%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

3%

Scott

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+36

Nov. 13, 2023

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 9-14
800LV
Nov. 9-14
800LV
Trump
44%
Trump
44%

Trump

44%

DeSantis

17%

Haley

17%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

4%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%
17%
DeSantisTrump+27
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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Campaign poll

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