UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:28 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Iowa race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 3, 2022

President: general election, Iowa, 2024

600LV
Oct.2-4
600LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump Sr.

51%
51%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+10

U.S. Senate, Iowa, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Oct.2-4
600LV
Franken
40%
Franken
40%

Franken

40%

Grassley

54%
54%
Grassley  Grassley+14

Governor, Iowa, 2022

600LV
Oct.2-4
600LV
DeJear
38%
DeJear
38%

DeJear

38%

Reynolds

59%
59%
Reynolds  Reynolds+21

Sept. 24, 2022

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022

400LV
Sep.21-25
400LV
Axne
44%
Axne
44%

Axne

44%

Nunn

46%
46%
Nunn  Nunn+2

Sept. 10, 2022

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022

500LV
Sep.7-11
500LV
Axne
47%
Axne
47%

Axne

47%

Nunn

47%
47%
Nunn  Even

Sept. 7, 2022

U.S. Senate, Iowa, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,143LV
Sep.3-8
1,143LV
Franken
44%
Franken
44%

Franken

44%

Grassley

48%
48%
Grassley  Grassley+4

Aug. 4, 2022

Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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