UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Kansas race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 26, 2022

Governor, Kansas, 2022

500LV
Apr.26-27
500LV
Kelly
43%
Kelly
43%

Kelly

43%

Schmidt

47%
47%
Schmidt  Schmidt+4

Sept. 14, 2021

Governor, Kansas, 2022

810LV
Sep.13-15
810LV
Kelly
47%
Kelly
47%

Kelly

47%

Schmidt

44%
44%
Schmidt  Kelly+3

Sept. 8, 2021

Governor, Kansas, 2022

1,000LV
Sep.7-9
1,000LV
Kelly
40%
Kelly
40%

Kelly

40%

Schmidt

44%
44%
Schmidt  Schmidt+4

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, Kansas, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

2,321LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
2,321LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+11
2,321RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
2,321RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+9

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election, Kansas, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,121LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
1,121LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

55%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

1%
55%
TrumpTrump+14

U.S. Senate, Kansas, 2020

1,121LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
1,121LV
Bollier
45%
Bollier
45%

Bollier

45%

Marshall

51%

Buckley

4%
51%
MarshallMarshall+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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