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Who’s ahead in the Louisiana race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Louisiana, 2022

633LV
Oct.10-11
633LV
Mixon
16%
Mixon
16%

Mixon

16%

Kennedy

53%

Chambers

8%

Steib

6%
53%
KennedyKennedy+37

Sept. 6, 2022

President: general election, Louisiana, 2024

506LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
506LV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantis  DeSantis+13
506LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
506LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump Sr.

51%
51%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+15

President: Republican primary, Louisiana, 2024

242LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
242LV
Trump Sr.
65%
Trump Sr.
65%

Trump Sr.

65%

DeSantis

29%
29%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+36

U.S. Senate, Louisiana, 2022

506LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
506LV
Chambers
16%
Chambers
16%

Chambers

16%

Kennedy

51%

Mixon

8%

Steib

6%
51%
KennedyKennedy+35

March 22, 2022

U.S. Senate, Louisiana, 2022

600LV
Mar.21-23
600LV
Chambers
14%
Chambers
14%

Chambers

14%

Kennedy

53%

Mixon

7%

Steib

3%
53%
KennedyKennedy+39

Governor, Louisiana, 2023

600LV
Mar.21-23
600LV
Broome
14%
Broome
14%

Broome

14%

Kennedy

22%

Landry

11%

Cassidy

10%

Nungesser

7%

Smith

4%

Hewitt

2%

Schroder

1%
22%
KennedyKennedy+8

March 6, 2021

U.S. House, LA-2, 2021

651LV
Mar.2-7
651LV
Carter
35%
Carter
35%

Carter

35%

Peterson

24%

Chambers

11%
24%
PetersonCarter+11

Feb. 13, 2021

U.S. House, LA-2, 2021

650LV
Feb.12-14
650LV
Carter
28%
Carter
28%

Carter

28%

Peterson

19%

Chambers

6%

Ontiveros

2%

Bernard

2%
19%
PetersonCarter+9
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