UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Louisiana race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 22, 2022

U.S. Senate, Louisiana, 2022

600LV
Mar.21-23
600LV
Chambers
14%
Chambers
14%

Chambers

14%

Kennedy

53%

Mixon

7%

Steib

3%
53%
KennedyKennedy+39

Governor, Louisiana, 2023

600LV
Mar.21-23
600LV
Broome
14%
Broome
14%

Broome

14%

Kennedy

22%

Landry

11%

Cassidy

10%

Nungesser

7%

Smith

4%

Hewitt

2%

Schroder

1%
22%
KennedyKennedy+8

March 6, 2021

U.S. House, LA-2, 2021

651LV
Mar.2-7
651LV
Carter
35%
Carter
35%

Carter

35%

Peterson

24%

Chambers

11%
24%
PetersonCarter+11

Feb. 13, 2021

U.S. House, LA-2, 2021

650LV
Feb.12-14
650LV
Carter
28%
Carter
28%

Carter

28%

Peterson

19%

Chambers

6%

Ontiveros

2%

Bernard

2%
19%
PetersonCarter+9

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, Louisiana, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,556LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,556LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

62%
62%
Trump  Trump+26
1,556RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,556RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+18

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election, Louisiana, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

378LV
Oct.23-Nov.1
378LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

57%

Jorgensen

4%
57%
TrumpTrump+18
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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