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Who’s ahead in the Massachusetts race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 19, 2023

President: general election, Massachusetts, 2024

Oct. 13-20
700A
Oct. 13-20
700A
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

21%

Kennedy

17%
21%
TrumpBiden+22

President: Republican primary, Massachusetts, 2024

Oct. 13-20
107A
Oct. 13-20
107A
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

15%

Haley

12%

Scott

6%

Pence

3%

Burgum

3%

Ramaswamy

2%

Christie

1%
15%
DeSantisTrump+39

July 21, 2023

U.S. Senate, Massachusetts, 2024

July 21-22
750LV
July 21-22
750LV
Warren
41%
Warren
41%

Warren

41%

Polito

29%
29%
Polito  Warren+13

May 7, 2023

U.S. Senate, Massachusetts, 2024

May 7-8
750LV
May 7-8
750LV
Warren
34%
Warren
34%

Warren

34%

Baker

49%
49%
Baker  Baker+15

April 4, 2023

President: Democratic primary, Massachusetts, 2024

March 28-April 5
397RV
March 28-April 5
397RV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Sanders

21%

Buttigieg

15%

Warren

12%

Harris

6%

Newsom

4%

Whitmer

4%
21%
SandersBiden+7

President: Republican primary, Massachusetts, 2024

March 28-April 5
154RV
March 28-April 5
154RV
DeSantis
78%
DeSantis
78%

DeSantis

78%

Sununu

22%
22%
Sununu  DeSantis+56
March 28-April 5
154RV
March 28-April 5
154RV
Trump
81%
Trump
81%

Trump

81%

Sununu

19%
19%
Sununu  Trump+62
March 28-April 5
154RV
March 28-April 5
154RV
Trump
68%
Trump
68%

Trump

68%

DeSantis

32%
32%
DeSantis  Trump+36
March 28-April 5
154RV
March 28-April 5
154RV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

18%

Pence

10%

Haley

4%

Cheney

3%

Scott

1%

Sununu

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+41

March 31, 2023

President: Republican primary, Massachusetts, 2024

March 31-April 1
475LV
March 31-April 1
475LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

DeSantis

32%
32%
DeSantis  Trump+14
March 31-April 1
475LV
March 31-April 1
475LV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

21%

Haley

9%

Pence

4%
21%
DeSantisTrump+24
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