UPDATED May 4, 2021, at 9:39 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Mississippi?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 3, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,461 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,461LVBiden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

61%
61%
TrumpTrump+24
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,461 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,461RVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

56%
56%
TrumpTrump+14

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
562 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
562LVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

55%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreTrump+14
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Miss.Miss.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
562 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
562LVEspy
47%

Espy

47%

Hyde-Smith

50%

Edwards

3%
MoreHyde-Smith+3

Oct. 26, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Oct 23-26, 2020
507 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
507LVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

55%
55%
TrumpTrump+14
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Miss.Miss.
Oct 23-26, 2020
507 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
507LVEspy
44%

Espy

44%

Hyde-Smith

52%

Edwards

2%
MoreHyde-Smith+8

Oct. 19, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,442 LV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,442LVBiden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

60%
60%
TrumpTrump+21
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,442 RV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,442RVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+10

Oct. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Aug 1-31, 2020
607 RV
Aug 1-31, 2020
607RVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

55%
55%
TrumpTrump+13
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Aug 1-31, 2020
607 LV
Aug 1-31, 2020
607LVBiden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

61%
61%
TrumpTrump+25
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Jul 1-31, 2020
733 RV
Jul 1-31, 2020
733RVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+10
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Jul 1-31, 2020
733 LV
Jul 1-31, 2020
733LVBiden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

59%
59%
TrumpTrump+20
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Jun 8-30, 2020
425 RV
Jun 8-30, 2020
425RVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

56%
56%
TrumpTrump+14
President: general election Miss.
Miss.
Jun 8-30, 2020
425 LV
Jun 8-30, 2020
425LVBiden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

63%
63%
TrumpTrump+28
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