UPDATED Dec. 23, 2021, at 1:00 PM

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Who’s ahead in Missouri?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVSifton
18%

Sifton

18%

Schmitt

23%
23%
SchmittSchmitt+5
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVSifton
12%

Sifton

12%

Long

13%
13%
LongLong+1
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVSifton
17%

Sifton

17%

Hartzler

22%
22%
HartzlerHartzler+5
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVSifton
26%

Sifton

26%

Greitens

39%
39%
GreitensGreitens+13
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVKunce
23%

Kunce

23%

Schmitt

28%
28%
SchmittSchmitt+5
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVKunce
17%

Kunce

17%

Long

16%
16%
LongKunce+1
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVKunce
16%

Kunce

16%

Hartzler

23%
23%
HartzlerHartzler+7
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210 LV
Dec 16-17, 2021
1,210LVKunce
26%

Kunce

26%

Greitens

34%
34%
GreitensGreitens+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 20, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Oct 3-4, 2021
600 LV
Oct 3-4, 2021
600LVKunce
40%

Kunce

40%

Greitens

47%
47%
GreitensGreitens+7
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Oct 3-4, 2021
600 LV
Oct 3-4, 2021
600LVSifton
40%

Sifton

40%

Greitens

46%
46%
GreitensGreitens+6

Sept. 22, 2021

President: general election
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Sep 18-20, 2021
1,014 LV
Sep 18-20, 2021
1,014LVBiden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump Sr.

55%
55%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+19

April 25, 2021

President: general election
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Apr 21-22, 2021
933 LV
Apr 21-22, 2021
933LVBiden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump Sr.

53%
53%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+15

April 18, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
42%

Nixon

42%

Schmitt

50%
50%
SchmittSchmitt+8
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
44%

Nixon

44%

Greitens

48%
48%
GreitensGreitens+4
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
39%

Sifton

39%

Schmitt

51%
51%
SchmittSchmitt+12
U.S. Senate
Mo. Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
42%

Sifton

42%

Greitens

49%
49%
GreitensGreitens+7
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