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UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Who’s ahead in Missouri?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 9, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 5-6, 2018
Oct 5-6, 2018
McCaskill
42%

McCaskill

42%

Hawley

44%
44%
HawleyHawley+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
487 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
487LVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

55%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+11
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,644 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,644LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+10
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,644 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,644RVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+11
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,109 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,109LVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+9
U.S. House
U.S. House
MO-2MO-2
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2020
597 LV
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2020
597LVSchupp
46%
Tie

Schupp

46%

Wagner

46%

Schulte

2%
MoreEven

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,010 LV
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,010LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

50%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreTrump+5
Governor
Governor
Mo.Mo.
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,010 LV
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,010LVGalloway
44%

Galloway

44%

Parson

50%

Combs

2%

Bauer

1%
MoreParson+6

Oct. 21, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mo.Mo.
Oct 18-20, 2020
600 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
600LVGalloway
42%

Galloway

42%

Parson

48%

Combs

2%

Bauer

1%
MoreParson+7

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
3,955 LV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
3,955LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+7
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
3,955 RV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
3,955RVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+5
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