UPDATED Jun. 14, 2021, at 4:25 PM

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Who’s ahead in Missouri?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added April 25, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Apr 21-22, 2021
933 LV
Apr 21-22, 2021
933LVBiden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump Sr.

53%
53%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+15

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

April 18, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
42%

Nixon

42%

Schmitt

50%
50%
SchmittSchmitt+8
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
44%

Nixon

44%

Greitens

48%
48%
GreitensGreitens+4
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
39%

Sifton

39%

Schmitt

51%
51%
SchmittSchmitt+12
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
42%

Sifton

42%

Greitens

49%
49%
GreitensGreitens+7

Jan. 19, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Mo.
Mo.
Dec 2-3, 2020
840 RV
Dec 2-3, 2020
840RVPence
32%

Pence

32%

Hawley

29%

I. Trump

13%
MorePence+3
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Jan 10-12, 2021
571 LV
Jan 10-12, 2021
571LVKander
44%

Kander

44%

Blunt

45%
45%
BluntBlunt+1

Nov. 8, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Oct 5-6, 2018
Oct 5-6, 2018
McCaskill
42%

McCaskill

42%

Hawley

44%
44%
HawleyHawley+2

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,926 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,926LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+10
President: general election Mo.
Mo.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,926 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,926RVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

53%
53%
TrumpTrump+9
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