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Who’s ahead in the Montana ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 28, 2024

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

March 26-29
503LV
March 26-29
503LV
Tester
45%
Tester
45%

Tester

45%

Sheehy

48%
48%
Sheehy  Sheehy+3

March 1, 2024

President: general election, Montana, 2024

Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

49%

Kennedy

8%

West

1%

Stein

1%
49%
TrumpTrump+20
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+21

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

42%
42%
Sheehy  Tester+2

Feb. 14, 2024

President: general election, Montana, 2024

Feb. 12-15
549LV
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Biden
29%
Biden
29%

Biden

29%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+22

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Feb. 12-15
549LV
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Tester
50%
Tester
50%

Tester

50%

Johnson

35%
35%
Johnson  Tester+15
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Tester
49%
Tester
49%

Tester

49%

Rosendale

40%
40%
Rosendale  Tester+9
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Tester
49%
Tester
49%

Tester

49%

Sheehy

40%
40%
Sheehy  Tester+9

Governor, Montana, 2024, General election

Feb. 12-15
549LV
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Busse
30%
Busse
30%

Busse

30%

Gianforte

52%
52%
Gianforte  Gianforte+22

Jan. 31, 2024

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, Republican primary

Feb. 1
500LV
Feb. 1
500LV
Rehberg
26%
Rehberg
26%

Rehberg

26%

Downing

16%

Arntzen

5%

Bogner

3%

Zinn

2%

Holden

2%

Walker

1%

Krautter

1%
16%
DowningRehberg+10

Nov. 13, 2023

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, Republican primary

Nov. 12-14
888LV
Nov. 12-14
888LV
Sheehy
39%
Sheehy
39%

Sheehy

39%

Rosendale

31%
31%
Rosendale  Sheehy+8
Nov. 12-14
888LV
Nov. 12-14
888LV
Sheehy
40%
Sheehy
40%

Sheehy

40%

Rosendale

24%
24%
Rosendale  Sheehy+16
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