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Who’s ahead in the Montana race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 16, 2023

President: general election, Montana, 2024

Aug.12-17
741LV
Aug.12-17
741LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

DeSantis

50%
50%
DeSantis  DeSantis+14
Aug.12-17
741LV
Aug.12-17
741LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+12

President: Republican primary, Montana, 2024

Aug.12-17
418LV
Aug.12-17
418LV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

29%
29%
DeSantis  Trump+27
Aug.12-17
418LV
Aug.12-17
418LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

6%

Haley

3%

Christie

3%

Scott

3%

Pence

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Elder

0%

Suarez

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+37

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024

Aug.12-17
741LV
Aug.12-17
741LV
Tester
43%
Tester
43%

Tester

43%

Rosendale

46%
46%
Rosendale  Rosendale+3
Aug.12-17
741LV
Aug.12-17
741LV
Tester
42%
Tester
42%

Tester

42%

Sheehy

46%
46%
Sheehy  Sheehy+4

June 19, 2023

President: Republican primary, Montana, 2024

Jun.19-20
510LV
Jun.19-20
510LV
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

DeSantis

37%
37%
DeSantis  Trump+12
Jun.19-20
510LV
Jun.19-20
510LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

DeSantis

23%

Haley

5%

Pence

5%

Christie

4%

Ramaswamy

3%

Scott

2%
23%
DeSantisTrump+23

Feb. 20, 2023

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024

Feb.18-21
600LV
Feb.18-21
600LV
Tester
41%
Tester
41%

Tester

41%

Rosendale

46%
46%
Rosendale  Rosendale+5

Jan. 31, 2023

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024

Jan.30-Feb.1
534LV
Jan.30-Feb.1
534LV
Tester
45%
Tester
45%

Tester

45%

Gianforte

45%
45%
Gianforte  Even
Jan.30-Feb.1
534LV
Jan.30-Feb.1
534LV
Tester
45%
Tester
45%

Tester

45%

Rosendale

40%
40%
Rosendale  Tester+5
Jan.30-Feb.1
534LV
Jan.30-Feb.1
534LV
Tester
46%
Tester
46%

Tester

46%

Zinke

40%
40%
Zinke  Tester+6

Oct. 13, 2022

U.S. House, MT-2, 2022

Oct.3-14
183A
Oct.3-14
183A
Buchanan
27%
Buchanan
27%

Buchanan

27%

Rosendale

40%

Ronning

14%

Rankin

5%
40%
RosendaleRosendale+13

U.S. House, MT-1, 2022

Oct.3-14
143A
Oct.3-14
143A
Tranel
32%
Tranel
32%

Tranel

32%

Zinke

34%

Lamb

12%
34%
ZinkeZinke+2
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