See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 26, 2020, at 10:59 AM

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Sep 26-Oct 24, 2020
1,227 LV
Sep 26-Oct 24, 2020
1,227LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+6
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Sep 26-Oct 24, 2020
1,227 RV
Sep 26-Oct 24, 2020
1,227RVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+5
U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1MT-1
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVWilliams
47%

Williams

47%

Rosendale

47%
47%
RosendaleEven
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVCooney
45%

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

48%
48%
GianforteGianforte+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 24, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

50%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+4

Oct. 23, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreTrump+6
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

49%
49%
DainesDaines+3
U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1MT-1
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVWilliams
46%

Williams

46%

Rosendale

50%
50%
RosendaleRosendale+4
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVCooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
MoreGianforte+4

Oct. 22, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVBiden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

51%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreTrump+8
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

48%
48%
DainesDaines+1
U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1MT-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVWilliams
46%

Williams

46%

Rosendale

46%
46%
RosendaleEven
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVCooney
41%

Cooney

41%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
MoreGianforte+7

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

49%
49%
DainesDaines+2
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