UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 4, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,021 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,021LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+6
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,021 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,021RVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

50%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+5
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920LVBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

50%
50%
DainesDaines+4
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920LVCooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

3%
MoreGianforte+4

Oct. 28, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 19-24, 2020
546 LV
Oct 19-24, 2020
546LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

52%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreTrump+7
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 19-24, 2020
546 LV
Oct 19-24, 2020
546LVBullock
48%

Bullock

48%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesBullock+1
U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1MT-1
Oct 19-24, 2020
546 LV
Oct 19-24, 2020
546LVWilliams
46%

Williams

46%

Rosendale

47%
47%
RosendaleRosendale+1
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 19-24, 2020
546 LV
Oct 19-24, 2020
546LVCooney
45%
Tie

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

45%

Bishop

2%
MoreEven

Oct. 27, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Oct 26-27, 2020
886 V
Oct 26-27, 2020
886VBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 26-27, 2020
886 V
Oct 26-27, 2020
886VBullock
48%

Bullock

48%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesBullock+1

Oct. 25, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1MT-1
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVWilliams
47%

Williams

47%

Rosendale

47%
47%
RosendaleEven
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVCooney
45%

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

48%
48%
GianforteGianforte+3
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