See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 7, 2020, at 2:03 PM

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Aug. 3, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584 LV
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+9
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584 LV
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584LVBullock
44%

Bullock

44%

Daines

50%
50%
DainesDaines+6
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584 LV
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584LVCooney
41%

Cooney

41%

Gianforte

50%
50%
GianforteGianforte+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

July 28, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Jul 23-24, 2020
917 V
Jul 23-24, 2020
917VBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+5

July 22, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Jul 11-16, 2020
701 LV
Jul 11-16, 2020
701LVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+10
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Jul 11-16, 2020
701 LV
Jul 11-16, 2020
701LVBullock
44%

Bullock

44%

Daines

47%
47%
DainesDaines+3

July 14, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Jul 11-13, 2020
873 RV
Jul 11-13, 2020
873RVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+4
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Jul 11-13, 2020
873 RV
Jul 11-13, 2020
873RVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

49%
49%
DainesDaines+2
U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1MT-1
Jul 11-13, 2020
873 RV
Jul 11-13, 2020
873RVWilliams
47%

Williams

47%

Rosendale

49%
49%
RosendaleRosendale+2
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Jul 11-13, 2020
873 RV
Jul 11-13, 2020
873RVCooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

47%
47%
GianforteGianforte+3

July 13, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mont.
Mont.
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224 V
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224VBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+9
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224 V
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224VBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

44%
44%
DainesBullock+2
U.S. House
U.S. House
MT-1MT-1
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224 V
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224VWilliams
44%

Williams

44%

Rosendale

44%
44%
RosendaleEven
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224 V
Jul 9-10, 2020
1,224VCooney
42%

Cooney

42%

Gianforte

46%
46%
GianforteGianforte+4
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