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Who’s ahead in the Montana race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 13, 2022

U.S. House, MT-2, 2022

183A
Oct.3-14
183A
Buchanan
27%
Buchanan
27%

Buchanan

27%

Rosendale

40%

Ronning

14%

Rankin

5%
40%
RosendaleRosendale+13

U.S. House, MT-1, 2022

143A
Oct.3-14
143A
Tranel
32%
Tranel
32%

Tranel

32%

Zinke

34%

Lamb

12%
34%
ZinkeZinke+2

Sept. 30, 2022

U.S. House, MT-1, 2022

840LV
Sep.27-Oct.1
840LV
Tranel
40%
Tranel
40%

Tranel

40%

Zinke

41%

Lamb

8%
41%
ZinkeZinke+1

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. House, MT-1, 2022

400LV
Sep.14-19
400LV
Tranel
43%
Tranel
43%

Tranel

43%

Zinke

45%

Lamb

3%
45%
ZinkeZinke+2

Sept. 6, 2022

President: general election, Montana, 2024

409LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
409LV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

DeSantis

42%
42%
DeSantis  DeSantis+7
409LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
409LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+13

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, Montana, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

920LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
920LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

50%

Jorgensen

2%
50%
TrumpTrump+5
1,021LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,021LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6
1,021RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,021RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+5

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2020

920LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
920LV
Bullock
46%
Bullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

50%
50%
Daines  Daines+4

Governor, Montana, 2020

920LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
920LV
Cooney
44%
Cooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

3%
48%
GianforteGianforte+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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